Genève-Servette vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Swiss National League Hockey Genève-Servette - Lugano
Result
1:5
03/10/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2622
Shots off target
713
Shooting PCT
3.85% (1/26)22.73% (5/22)
Blocked Shots
107
Goalkeeper Saves
1725
Saves PCT
80.95% (17/21)96.15% (25/26)
Penalties
45
PIM
810
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (5/5)
Faceoffs Won
2125
Faceoffs %
45.6554.35
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:10, Sutter D. (2 min),
  • 05:03, Rod N. (2 min),
  • 06:24, 0 - 1, Carrick C. (G), Sgarbossa M. (A),
  • 08:08, 1 - 1, Le Coultre S. (G), Manninen S. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:58, (2 min),
  • 09:26, 1 - 2, Carrick C. (G), Sanford Z. (A), Omark L. (A2)
  • 19:41, 1 - 3, Thurkauf C. (G), Canonica L. (A), Dahlstrom C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:12, Tanner R. (2 min),
  • 08:19, 1 - 4, Thurkauf C. (G), Tanner R. (A),
  • 14:04, Canonica L. (2 min),
  • 17:43, 1 - 5, Bertaggia A. (G),
  • 19:47, Peltonen A. (2 min),
  • 19:47, Tanner R. (2 min),
  • 19:47, Jooris J. (2 min),
  • 19:47, Rod N. (2 min),

Chances of winning


Genève-Servette
34.1%
Draw
27.3%
Lugano
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 21.5% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 20.3% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Genève-Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genève-Servette's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève-Servette than the current prediction. (+21.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genève-Servette, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Genève-Servette - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (1.8)
    4.82
    (4.4)
    3.33
    (3.66)
    -25.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Genève-Servette - Lugano?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Genève-Servette will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lugano will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genève-Servette: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genève-Servette won 4.
    • Genève-Servette has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lugano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Genève-Servette is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Genève-Servette will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genève-Servette won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 65:56. (average 3.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Genève-Servette won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 3.6:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Genève-Servette - Lugano were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Genève-Servette - Lugano 3:2
    11.02.2025 Genève-Servette - Lugano 5:2
    23.01.2025 Lugano - Genève-Servette 5:2
    01.11.2024 Lugano - Genève-Servette 1:3
    23.01.2024 Lugano - Genève-Servette 2:5
    Latest results of Genève-Servette
    Latest results of Lugano
    30.09.2025 Lugano - Ambrì-Piotta 1:2
    26.09.2025 Lugano - Lausanne HC 4:5
    23.09.2025 Lugano - Bern 0:3
    20.09.2025 Davos - Lugano 2:0
    Swiss National League Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Davos141121054:2738
    2Rapperswil-Jona141010348:3232
    3Lausanne15900655:3627
    4Servette14802441:5326
    5Fribourg14541445:3424
    6Zug14613434:3523
    7Zurich14702541:3123
    8Biel13350538:3419
    9Langnau Tigers14421733:4217
    10EHC Kloten15413734:4217
    11Lugano14412731:3716
    12Bern13410822:3314
    13Ambri-Piotta14401927:4413
    14Ajoie141021121:445

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