Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Smet W. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/390) | 83% (316/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/390) | 83% (316/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 64% (41/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (18/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Mbavu E. (Own goal),
- 27', Magidigidi S. 🟨,
- 29', Pierre K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Magidigidi S. ↓, Vula A. ↑,
- 46', Sarfo E. ↓, Barry A. ↑,
- 50', Yasuda K. 🟨,
- 67', Camara A. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
- 67', Kapers W. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
- 75', Guendouz S. ↓, Claes G. ↑,
- 80', Coenen J. 🟨,
- 82', Masui K. ↓, Van Eenoo L. ↑,
- 86', Yasuda K. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Beerschot Wilrijk
61.9% | Draw
20.8% | Genk U23
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beerschot Wilrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-3%)
Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.38) |
4.48 ↓
(4.82) |
5.33 ↓
(6.3) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 14).
- Beerschot Wilrijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Genk U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Beerschot Wilrijk is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beerschot Wilrijk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Beerschot Wilrijk won against Genk U23?
Beerschot Wilrijk has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against Beerschot Wilrijk?
Genk U23 has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk U23 were as follows:
23.09.2025
Genk U23
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
0:2
29.03.2024
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
Genk U23
1:0
07.10.2023
Genk U23
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
1:2
27.01.2023
Beerschot Wilrijk
-
Genk U23
3:2
22.10.2022
Genk U23
-
Beerschot Wilrijk
1:2
Latest results of Beerschot Wilrijk
Latest results of Genk U23
