ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Genk U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 31

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.751.60
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
17
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
67
Passes
79% (285/360)89% (371/419)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.751.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.141.09
Total shots
714
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
36
Shots outside the box
48
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1218
Passes
79% (285/360)89% (371/419)
Long passes
49% (32/65)67% (35/52)
Passes in final third
63% (42/67)79% (103/130)
Crosses
28% (5/18)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.552.22
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
1812
Tackles
56% (14/25)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5647
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
1.090.14
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Pierre K. 🟨,
  • 19', Kapers W. 🟨,
  • 28', Ramalho J. , Mbalanda J. ,
  • 28', Beniangba V. , Coenen J. ,
  • 36', Ion R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 63', Ferrara L. 🟥,
  • 67', Florica L. , Diallo T. ,
  • 67', Lake T. , Dailly N. ,
  • 77', Cachbach M. , Berberi R. ,
  • 79', Kim M. , Yasuda K. ,
  • 80', Camara A. , Achahbar K. ,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Haroun K. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, De Medina N. , Ion R. (A),
  • 89', Nzoko D. , Driessen J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Driessen J. ,

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
39.1%
Draw
26.1%
Genk U23
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 25.6% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.1% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.12)
    3.5
    (3.6)
    2.67
    (2.99)
    9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23?
  • Users Predictions: ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ROCCM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23 were as follows:
    30.11.2025 Genk U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 3:4
    Latest results of ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
    Latest results of Genk U23
    14.03.2026 Seraing - Genk U23 2:2
    10.03.2026 Genk U23 - Brugge U23 0:0
    28.02.2026 Genk U23 - Lierse 2:3
    20.02.2026 Anderlecht U23 - Genk U23 2:1