Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (291/361) | 84% (534/636) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (291/361) | 84% (534/636) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 59% (41/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (81/118) | 70% (112/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Hrosovsky P. ⚽, Oh Hyeon-Gyu (A),
- 29', Bangoura I. 🟨,
- 34', Ngoura S. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
- 36', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Minda A. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sor Y. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 56', Diakite O. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Medina Y. (A),
- 66', Nkuba K. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Diop E. (Pen),
- 69', Utkus E. ↓, Nazinho ↑,
- 69', Adewumi O. ↓, Ouattara A. K. ↑,
- 70', Bangoura I. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 78', Diop E. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
- 89', Steuckers J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 90', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heymans D. ↑,
- 90+6', Nazinho 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3srn4c7s
Chances of winning
Cercle Brugge
29.9% | Draw
25.1% | Genk
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Cercle Brugge - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(3.03) |
3.79 ↑
(3.65) |
2.12 ↓
(2.19) |
4.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - Genk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Genk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 1.
- Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I.
(Broken ankle)
Nazinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Genk: El Ouahdi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Lawal T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Utkus E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Genk?
Cercle Brugge has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Cercle Brugge?
Genk has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - Genk were as follows:
08.02.2025
Genk
-
Cercle Brugge
2:1
14.09.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Genk
2:3
04.05.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Genk
4:1
13.04.2024
Genk
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
20.01.2024
Genk
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Waregem | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Genk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
