Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (408/505) | 78% (301/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (408/505) | 78% (301/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 46% (28/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/116) | 59% (70/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sor Y. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Ngoura S. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
- 61', Diop E. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 67', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 67', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 70', Ito J. 🟨,
- 79', Ito J. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 79', Bibout A. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 79', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
- 79', Agyekum L. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
- 90+2', Sor Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Gerkens P. ⚽, Diaby I. (A),
Chances of winning
Genk
48.8% | Draw
26.5% | Cercle Brugge
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Genk - Cercle Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.81) |
3.58 ↓
(3.79) |
3.83 ↓
(3.93) |
5.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk - Cercle Brugge?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Genk (2.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 60%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 2.
- Recent form of Genk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cercle Brugge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Genk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Valy K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Cercle Brugge?
Genk has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Genk?
Cercle Brugge has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Cercle Brugge were as follows:
19.10.2025
Cercle Brugge
-
Genk
2:2
08.02.2025
Genk
-
Cercle Brugge
2:1
14.09.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Genk
2:3
04.05.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Genk
4:1
13.04.2024
Genk
-
Cercle Brugge
1:1
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
