Result
2:2
19/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 19
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/420) | 87% (431/498) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/420) | 87% (431/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/105) | 76% (61/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Heynen B. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 23', Keita C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Titraoui Y. ⚽,
- 43', Palacios A. ↓, Kongolo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 68', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 68', Bernier A. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Heynen B. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 73', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
- 74', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 81', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 81', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 81', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Guiagon P. ⚽,
- 90', Karetsas K. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 90', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
34.8% | Draw
29.5% | Genk
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Charleroi - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.71) |
3.21 ↑
(3.02) |
2.65 ↑
(2.6) |
5.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Genk?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Genk will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 34.6% – 73%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Genk (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Charleroi (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 20%). Genk (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.
- Recent performances by Charleroi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Genk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Inactive)
Kone M.
(International duty)
Sow M.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ito J.
(Knock)
Kayembe J.
(International duty)
Nkuba K.
(Heel Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Genk?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Charleroi?
Genk has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Genk were as follows:
17.09.2025
Genk
-
Charleroi
0:1
28.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Genk
1:1
23.11.2024
Genk
-
Charleroi
3:0
06.07.2024
Genk
-
Charleroi
3:3
23.02.2024
Charleroi
-
Genk
0:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
