Charleroi vs Genk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi).

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Bold+
France	DAZN 4, DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital+
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	1.27
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Goal Attempts
11	12
Shots on Goal
6	4
Shots off Goal
3	7
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
3	4
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
Free Kicks
11	11
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
11	11
Yellow Cards
3	1
Throw-ins
8	14
Touches in the Opposition Box
25	18
Passes
78% (307/392)	87% (486/558)
Passes in the final third
68% (66/97)	70% (69/98)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	20% (4/20)
Tackles
81% (13/16)	45% (5/11)
Clearances Total
21	15
Interceptions
7	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Smets M. 🟨,
30', Guiagon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Arokodare T. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
73', Rogelj Z. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
74', Zorgane A. 🟨,
82', Guiagon P. ↓, Mbenza I. ↑,
82', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Heymans D. (Pen),
90+4', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
90+4', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
90+13', Mbenza I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Charleroi
35.2%

Draw
28.2%

Genk
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Charleroi - Genk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.06)	3.38 ↓ (3.56)	2.61 ↑ (2.23)	4.8% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Charleroi - Genk?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Genk will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 53.2% – 87.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
Genk is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 0.
Recent matches Charleroi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Genk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Genk have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Genk: Sor Y. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 25:42 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Genk?

Charleroi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Charleroi?

Genk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Genk were as follows:

23.11.2024 Genk - Charleroi 3:0

06.07.2024 Genk - Charleroi 3:3

23.02.2024 Charleroi - Genk 0:1

20.08.2023 Genk - Charleroi 0:0

23.04.2023 Charleroi - Genk 2:2

Latest results of Charleroi

22.02.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 1:3 ✺

16.02.2025 Charleroi - Anderlecht 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Beerschot Wilrijk - Charleroi 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 5:0 ✺

25.01.2025 Charleroi - Cercle Brugge 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Genk

23.02.2025 Genk - Gent 0:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Standard Liège - Genk 1:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Genk - Cercle Brugge 2:1 ✺

05.02.2025 Genk - Club Brugge 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Genk - Beerschot Wilrijk 1:0 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
2	Royale Union SG	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
3	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )