Result
0:1
17/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (523/590) | 71% (197/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (523/590) | 71% (197/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (43/58) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (167/218) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (8/43) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Scheidler A. ⚽, Blum L. (A),
- 21', Romsaas J. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 44', Guiagon P. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
- 45+1', Camara E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Blum L. 🟨,
- 62', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 62', Ito J. ↓, Hrosovsky P. ↑,
- 62', Bangoura I. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 69', Blum L. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 69', Gaudin J. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
- 69', Bernier A. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 78', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 89', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3fhc9ju3
Chances of winning
Genk
58% | Draw
23.1% | Charleroi
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Genk - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.59) |
4.1
(4.1) |
5.08 ↓
(5.65) |
5.2%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Genk - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 72.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to european competitions.
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 2.
- Genk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charleroi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Genk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Pierre K.
(Injury)
Van Crombrugge H.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:25. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Charleroi?
Genk has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Genk?
Charleroi has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Charleroi were as follows:
28.02.2025
Charleroi
-
Genk
1:1
23.11.2024
Genk
-
Charleroi
3:0
06.07.2024
Genk
-
Charleroi
3:3
23.02.2024
Charleroi
-
Genk
0:1
20.08.2023
Genk
-
Charleroi
0:0
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Waregem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Gent | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Antwerp | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
