Genk vs Ferencvárosi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cegeka Arena (Genk).

Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 10, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 14
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.16
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
86% (485/563)	78% (250/322)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.34	2.15
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
16	8
Passes
86% (485/563)	78% (250/322)
Long passes
61% (43/70)	46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
77% (137/178)	64% (60/94)
Crosses
10% (3/29)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.29
Throw-ins
17	19
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
67% (10/15)	67% (16/24)
Duels won
46	52
Clearances
19	35
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.15	0.34
Goals prevented
1.15	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Levi J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Varga B. (Pen),
53', O'Dowda C. ↓, Nagy B. ↑,
65', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
65', Ito J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
67', Cisse I. 🟨,
74', Gartenmann S. 🟨,
78', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
78', Steuckers J. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
79', Levi J. ↓, Kanichowsky G. ↑,
79', Joseph L. ↓, Dele ↑,
82', Varga B. 🟨,
85', Varga B. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
85', Keita N. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
86', Kayembe J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,

Chances of winning

Genk
54.5%

Draw
23.4%

Ferencvárosi
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

20.2%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Genk - Ferencvárosi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.49)	4.18 ↓ (4.76)	4.47 ↓ (6.39)	2.7% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Genk - Ferencvárosi?

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 76.7% – 97.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1, 1st Half - Genk (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Genk will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Genk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferencvárosi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Genk is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Genk: Heymans D. (Ankle Injury) Sor Y. (Inactive)
There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Lisztes K. (Muscle Injury) Makreckis C. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Genk: Lawal T. (Knee Injury) Medina Y. (Concussion)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Ferencvárosi?

Genk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Genk?

Ferencvárosi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Ferencvárosi were as follows:

09.11.2023 Ferencvárosi - Genk 1:1

26.10.2023 Genk - Ferencvárosi 0:0

Latest results of Genk

28.09.2025 Sint-Truidense - Genk 1:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Genk 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Genk - Charleroi 0:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Ferencvárosi

28.09.2025 Győri ETO - Ferencvárosi 0:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň 1:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Ferencvárosi - Diósgyőri 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Debreceni - Ferencvárosi 0:3 ✺

27.08.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Ferencvárosi 2:3 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)