Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 10 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 14 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (485/563) | 78% (250/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (485/563) | 78% (250/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/70) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (137/178) | 64% (60/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/29) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Levi J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Varga B. (Pen),
- 53', O'Dowda C. ↓, Nagy B. ↑,
- 65', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 65', Ito J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 67', Cisse I. 🟨,
- 74', Gartenmann S. 🟨,
- 78', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
- 78', Steuckers J. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 79', Levi J. ↓, Kanichowsky G. ↑,
- 79', Joseph L. ↓, Dele ↑,
- 82', Varga B. 🟨,
- 85', Varga B. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
- 85', Keita N. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
- 86', Kayembe J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genk
54.5% | Draw
23.4% | Ferencvárosi
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Genk - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.49) |
4.18 ↓
(4.76) |
4.47 ↓
(6.39) |
2.7%
(4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Genk - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 76.7% – 97.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Genk (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Ferencvárosi (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ferencvárosi (2.09) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Ferencvárosi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Genk will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Ferencvárosi (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Genk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ferencvárosi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Genk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Sor Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Lisztes K.
(Muscle Injury)
Makreckis C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Genk: Lawal T.
(Knee Injury)
Medina Y.
(Concussion)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Ferencvárosi?
Genk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Genk?
Ferencvárosi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
09.11.2023
Ferencvárosi
-
Genk
1:1
26.10.2023
Genk
-
Ferencvárosi
0:0
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
