Result
5:1
19/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | New World Sport 2, New World Sport App |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, Q Arena Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
Belgium | RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza |
Bolivia | ESPN 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN 3 |
Colombia | ESPN 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Ecuador | ESPN 3 |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 11, CANAL+ Sport |
Germany | RTL+, Servus TV |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | Wowow Prime |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
Mexico | Claro Sports |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Paraguay | ESPN 3 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
Turkey | Tabii Spor 2, Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/407) | 87% (409/471) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (332/407) | 87% (409/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 73% (104/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -2.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Ginter M. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Matanovic I. ⚽, Ginter M. (A),
- 30', Matanovic I. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 1, Smets M. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 44', Beste J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 1, Grifo V. ⚽,
- 57', 4 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
- 58', Grifo V. 🟨,
- 58', Heymans D. 🟨,
- 59', Manzambi J. 🟨,
- 64', Bangoura I. 🟨,
- 69', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 69', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 69', Bangoura I. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 71', Beste J. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 71', Matanovic I. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
- 71', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 76', Holer L. 🟨,
- 79', 5 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
- 81', Manzambi J. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
- 83', Heymans D. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 83', Treu P. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 61.1% | Draw 22.4% | Genk 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Genk aligns with the current prediction.
Freiburg - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.63) |
4.28 ↑ (4.05) |
5.78 ↓ (5.78) |
4.2% (3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Genk?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Genk will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 57.6% – 86.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Freiburg (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Genk (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Genk (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Genk (5.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Freiburg (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Genk (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- Freiburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Genk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Genk has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Freiburg is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Freiburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Genk?
Freiburg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Freiburg?
Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Genk were as follows:
12.03.2026
Genk
-
Freiburg
1:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Braga (6) | Betis (4) | |
| 2 | Freiburg (7) | Celta Vigo (16) | |
| 3 | FC Porto (5) | Nottingham (13) | |
| 4 | Bologna (10) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal