Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 14
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/420) | 88% (584/663) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (352/420) | 88% (584/663) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 66% (40/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (84/103) | 73% (94/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Kongolo J. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
- 58', Paskotsi M. 🟨,
- 64', Paskotsi M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 73', Goore H. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 74', Medina Y. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 74', Skoras M. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 74', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 74', Karetsas K. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 83', Volckaert M. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
- 87', Palacios A. ↓, Kayembe J. ↑,
- 90', Araujo T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gent
30.5% | Draw
27.8% | Genk
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gent - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.82) |
3.44 ↓
(3.65) |
2.29 ↓
(2.3) |
4.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - Genk?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Genk will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 1.
- In recent matches, Gent has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Genk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Genk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Red Card)
Kanga W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Genk: Bangoura I.
(Knock)
El Ouahdi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ito J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Genk?
Gent has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Gent?
Genk has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Genk were as follows:
18.05.2025
Gent
-
Genk
1:4
30.03.2025
Genk
-
Gent
4:0
23.02.2025
Genk
-
Gent
0:0
27.10.2024
Gent
-
Genk
0:2
02.06.2024
Genk
-
Gent
0:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 36:12 | 24 | 42 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 39 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25:22 | 3 | 31 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | Gent | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28:29 | -1 | 26 |
| 9 | Genk | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
| 10 | Westerlo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Waregem | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Leuven | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Dender | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
