Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 12
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 81% | 19% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (587/662) | 59% (93/157) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (587/662) | 59% (93/157) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (43/61) | 30% (16/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (159/202) | 52% (28/54) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (6/46) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Liongola J. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽,
- 43', Faye W. 🟨,
- 44', Heymans D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Mirisola R. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 58', Sattlberger N. ↓, Hrosovsky P. ↑,
- 63', Mendy O. 🟨,
- 64', Mendy O. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
- 70', Afriyie J. ↓, Fall P. M. ↑,
- 71', Lutonda T. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
- 71', Sor Y. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 76', Guindo M. 🟨,
- 87', Heymans D. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 87', Ito J. ↓, Maisonneuve M. ↑,
- 88', Maes O. ↓, Pau M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genk
60.4% | Draw
22.9% | RAAL La Louvière
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Genk - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.48) |
4.22 ↓
(4.65) |
5.82 ↓
(6.2) |
5.2%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genk - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - La Louvière (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- La Louvière is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Genk is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: El Ouahdi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ito J.
(Injury)
Lawal T.
(Knee Injury)
Steuckers J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in La Louvière: Bretelle L.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Genk: Medina Y.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against RAAL La Louvière?
Genk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Genk?
RAAL La Louvière has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Waregem | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Genk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
