Result
5:5
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 80% (355/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 4.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 80% (355/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 45% (34/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/122) | 68% (78/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 72% (23/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.05 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽,
- 15', 0 - 2, Mirisola R. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 2, Okou Y. ⚽, Gillot N. (A),
- 41', Lawal T. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 2, Afriyie J. ⚽, Gillot N. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 3, Ito J. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 4, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),
- 58', Bangoura I. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 4, Lawal T. (Own goal),
- 69', Mirisola R. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 71', Ashimeru M. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
- 73', Liongola J. 🟨,
- 80', Ito J. ↓, Sadick M. ↑,
- 80', Kongolo J. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 80', Ito J. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
- 85', Soumare B. 🟨,
- 86', 3 - 5, Bibout A. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 87', Lahssaini S. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 88', Liongola J. ↓, Maes O. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 5, Nsingi N. ⚽,
- 90+6', 5 - 5, Faye W. ⚽, Gillot N. (A),
Chances of winning
RAAL La Louvière
28.7% | Draw
26% | Genk
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
RAAL La Louvière - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.49) |
3.65 ↑
(3.54) |
2.08 ↑
(2.02) |
5.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Genk?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Genk will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 1 - 50%). Genk (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - La Louvière (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - La Louvière (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - La Louvière (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 4 - 80%). Genk (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Genk might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Genk?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against RAAL La Louvière?
Genk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Genk were as follows:
26.10.2025
Genk
-
RAAL La Louvière
1:1
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
