RAAL La Louvière vs Genk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:5
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
  • Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumSporza, Sporza
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.642.69
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
87
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
103
Passes
75% (261/347)80% (355/445)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.642.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.614.05
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
21
Big chances
36
Corner kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
3919
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free kicks
910
Passes
75% (261/347)80% (355/445)
Long passes
36% (20/55)45% (34/75)
Passes in final third
55% (67/122)68% (78/115)
Crosses
42% (10/24)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.07
Throw ins
2917
Fouls
109
Tackles
74% (14/19)72% (23/32)
Duels won
6069
Clearances
2754
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
32
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
4.052.61
Goals prevented
-0.95-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Heymans D. ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Mirisola R. ,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Okou Y. , Gillot N. (A),
  • 41', Lawal T. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 2, Afriyie J. , Gillot N. (A),
  • 45+3', 2 - 3, Ito J. , Heymans D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 4, El Ouahdi Z. , Heymans D. (A),
  • 58', Bangoura I. , Sattlberger N. ,
  • 68', 3 - 4, Lawal T. (Own goal),
  • 69', Mirisola R. , Sor Y. ,
  • 71', Ashimeru M. , Soumare B. ,
  • 73', Liongola J. 🟨,
  • 80', Ito J. , Sadick M. ,
  • 80', Kongolo J. , Bibout A. ,
  • 80', Ito J. , Nsingi N. ,
  • 85', Soumare B. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 5, Bibout A. , Karetsas K. (A),
  • 87', Lahssaini S. , Gueulette S. ,
  • 88', Liongola J. , Maes O. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 5, Nsingi N. ,
  • 90+6', 5 - 5, Faye W. , Gillot N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


RAAL La Louvière
28.7%
Draw
26%
Genk
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.9% 26.6% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 25.7% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • RAAL La Louvière - Genk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (3.49)
    3.65
    (3.54)
    2.08
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for RAAL La Louvière - Genk?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Genk will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 1 - 50%). Genk (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - La Louvière (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - La Louvière (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - La Louvière (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. La Louvière (votes: 4 - 80%). Genk (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • La Louvière may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Genk might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in La Louvière: Belkheir M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Louvière won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RAAL La Louvière - Genk were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Genk - RAAL La Louvière 1:1
    Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
    Latest results of Genk
    19.03.2026 Freiburg - Genk 5:1
    15.03.2026 Genk - Sint-Truidense 1:0
    12.03.2026 Genk - Freiburg 1:0
    07.03.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:1
    01.03.2026 Genk - Gent 3:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG30199250:173366
    2Club Brugge KV30203759:362363
    3St. Truiden30183947:351257
    4Gent301361149:43645
    5KV Mechelen30129939:37245
    6Anderlecht301281043:39444
    7Genk301191046:47-142
    8St. Liege301171227:35-840
    9Westerlo301091136:40-439
    10Antwerp30981331:32-135
    11Charleroi30971438:42-434
    12Leuven30971432:43-1134
    13Waregem30881438:47-932
    14Cercle Brugge KSV307101339:47-831
    15RAAL La Louviere306131130:37-731
    16Dender303101724:51-2719

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )