Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 29
- Referee: Dhondt K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/349) | 88% (548/626) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/349) | 88% (548/626) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 63% (49/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (77/111) | 78% (163/209) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Mirisola R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 69', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 69', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 77', Muja A. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 77', Yamamoto R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 77', Ito R. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 80', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
- 80', Ito J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 88', Bangoura I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lawal T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk
44.3% | Draw
26.4% | Sint-Truidense
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Genk - Sint-Truidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.13) |
3.59 ↓
(3.71) |
3.24 ↑
(3.06) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk - Sint-Truidense?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 28.1% – 78.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Sint-Truidense (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Sint-Truidense (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- Genk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sint-Truidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Genk has had a series of home games.
- Genk could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Genk: Kongolo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:25. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Sint-Truidense?
Genk has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Genk?
Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Sint-Truidense were as follows:
28.09.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
1:2
07.01.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
0:4
01.12.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
2:2
20.10.2024
Genk
-
Sint-Truidense
3:2
28.01.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
1:1
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
