Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 9
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (211/294) | 85% (445/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (211/294) | 85% (445/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (19/49) | 63% (42/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 75% (127/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Heynen B. (Own goal),
- 35', Sissako A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Van Helden R. 🟥,
- 57', 1 - 1, Ito J. ⚽,
- 60', Musliu V. 🟨,
- 64', Goto K. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
- 64', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 65', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 71', Heynen B. 🟨,
- 74', Sattlberger N. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 74', Erabi J. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 74', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 88', Heynen B. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 88', Ito J. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 90', Karetsas K. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Mirisola R. (A),
- 90+5', Kokubo L. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc48x96j
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
27.1% | Draw
25.6% | Genk
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sint-Truidense's form might have worsened.Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Sint-Truidense - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.8) |
3.74 ↑
(3.7) |
2.03 ↓
(2.2) |
5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Genk?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Genk will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Genk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Genk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Sor Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:40. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Genk?
Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Sint-Truidense?
Genk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Genk were as follows:
07.01.2025
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
0:4
01.12.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
2:2
20.10.2024
Genk
-
Sint-Truidense
3:2
28.01.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Genk
1:1
24.09.2023
Genk
-
Sint-Truidense
3:3
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
