Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (499/574) | 73% (200/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (499/574) | 73% (200/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (120/166) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Yow G. ⚽, Piedfort A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Steuckers J. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
- 65', Bangoura I. ↓, Hrosovsky P. ↑,
- 65', Heymans D. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 72', Bayram E. 🟥,
- 73', Sakamoto I. ↓, Neustadter R. ↑,
- 77', Medina Y. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 77', Yow G. ↓, Mbamba-Muanda L. ↑,
- 90+1', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽,
- 90+6', Reynolds B. 🟨,
- 90+11', Mbamba-Muanda L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk
53.6% | Draw
23.5% | Westerlo
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Genk - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.62) |
4.05 ↓
(4.35) |
4.13 ↓
(4.6) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Genk - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Westerlo (3.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 50%). Westerlo (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Westerlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Genk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ito J.
(Knock)
Kayembe J.
(Muscle Injury)
Nkuba K.
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Genk won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:14. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Westerlo?
Genk has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Genk?
Westerlo has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Westerlo were as follows:
02.11.2025
Westerlo
-
Genk
0:1
25.01.2025
Westerlo
-
Genk
1:2
30.08.2024
Genk
-
Westerlo
1:0
17.03.2024
Westerlo
-
Genk
1:1
01.10.2023
Genk
-
Westerlo
3:3
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
