Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (313/375) | 84% (392/467) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (313/375) | 84% (392/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 78% (39/50) | 37% (13/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (84/115) | 68% (67/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Mabanza V. R. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Janssen T. (A),
- 19', Mabanza V. R. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 0, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Soumare M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Vydysh R. ↓, Mazouz J. ↑,
- 46', Peersman K. ↓, Vanden Borre R. ↑,
- 46', Sylla A. D. ↓, Vanderdonck G. ↑,
- 64', Janssen T. 🟨,
- 64', De Meyer G. ↓, Vandenbroucke V. ↑,
- 65', Asselman W. ↓, Djamba Shango J. ↑,
- 72', Van den Bergh R. ↓, Brebels S. ↑,
- 72', Camara D. ↓, Vinck J. ↑,
- 74', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
- 75', Mazouz J. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 1, Vanderdonck G. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 80', Vernemmen H. 🟨,
- 80', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Boonen I. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Brrou A. ⚽, Soumare M. (A),
- 89', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
- 89', Palacios J. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokeren 47.3% | Draw 25.6% | Gent U23 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Gent U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lokeren - Gent U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.11) |
3.62 ↑ (3.44) |
3.38 ↑ (2.99) |
7.8% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lokeren - Gent U23?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gent U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Gent U23 (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- Lokeren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gent U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lokeren will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against Gent U23?
Lokeren has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent U23 won against Lokeren?
Gent U23 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokeren - Gent U23 were as follows:
07.12.2025
Gent U23
-
Lokeren
1:3
Latest results of Lokeren
Latest results of Gent U23