Lokeren vs Gent U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 30
  • Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.630.72
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
238
Shots on target
91
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
131
Passes
83% (313/375)84% (392/467)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.630.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.200.92
Total shots
238
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
96
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
157
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
12
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
131
Touches in opposition box
3915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1223
Passes
83% (313/375)84% (392/467)
Long passes
78% (39/50)37% (13/35)
Passes in final third
73% (84/115)68% (67/99)
Crosses
38% (9/24)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.62
Throw ins
1613
Fouls
2312
Tackles
58% (7/12)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3253
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.923.20
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mabanza V. R. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Van Aerschot S. , Janssen T. (A),
  • 19', Mabanza V. R. 🟨,
  • 43', 3 - 0, Van Aerschot S. , Soumare M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Vydysh R. , Mazouz J. ,
  • 46', Peersman K. , Vanden Borre R. ,
  • 46', Sylla A. D. , Vanderdonck G. ,
  • 64', Janssen T. 🟨,
  • 64', De Meyer G. , Vandenbroucke V. ,
  • 65', Asselman W. , Djamba Shango J. ,
  • 72', Van den Bergh R. , Brebels S. ,
  • 72', Camara D. , Vinck J. ,
  • 74', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
  • 75', Mazouz J. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Vanderdonck G. , Diop M. (A),
  • 80', Vernemmen H. 🟨,
  • 80', Van Aerschot S. , Boonen I. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Brrou A. , Soumare M. (A),
  • 89', Mabanza V. R. , Boere T. ,
  • 89', Palacios J. , Boujouh N. ,

Chances of winning


Lokeren
47.3%
Draw
25.6%
Gent U23
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 26.4% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 25.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Gent U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Lokeren - Gent U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.11)
    3.62
    (3.44)
    3.38
    (2.99)
    7.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lokeren - Gent U23?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lokeren will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Gent U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Gent U23 (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Lokeren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gent U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gent U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lokeren will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lokeren won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokeren - Gent U23 were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Gent U23 - Lokeren 1:3
    Latest results of Lokeren
    12.03.2026 Francs Borains - Lokeren 1:0
    08.03.2026 Lokeren - Beveren 1:2
    21.02.2026 Lokeren - Lommel 2:3
    14.02.2026 RWDM Brussels - Lokeren 1:2
    Latest results of Gent U23
    11.03.2026 Gent U23 - Lommel 2:2
    06.03.2026 Eupen - Gent U23 4:0
    21.02.2026 Lierse - Gent U23 1:3