Result
3:0
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (570/635) | 81% (303/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (570/635) | 81% (303/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (136/164) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kanga W. ⚽, Paskotsi M. (A),
- 32', Samoise M. 🟨,
- 42', Mbamba N. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Kanga W. ⚽, Ito A. (A),
- 52', Nsimba B. 🟨,
- 57', Hrncar D. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 57', Cools K. ↓, Fredrick B. ↑,
- 66', Kadiri J. A. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 66', Viltard M. ↓, Oratmangoen R. ↑,
- 72', Samoise M. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
- 80', Gandelman O. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 80', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 0, Kadri A. ⚽, Kanga W. (A),
- 87', Kadri A. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 87', Skoras M. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gent
55.6% | Draw
23.6% | Dender EH
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dender EH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gent - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.82) |
4.04 ↑
(4.01) |
4.59 ↑
(4.01) |
5%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(45 of 49 users predict this - 91.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.17% – 99.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gent will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Gent have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dender EH has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Gent is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Knee Injury)
Kotto S.
(Red Card)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gent won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Gent won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Dender EH?
Gent has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Gent?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Dender EH were as follows:
12.01.2025
Dender EH
-
Gent
0:0
04.08.2024
Gent
-
Dender EH
1:2
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Waregem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Gent | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | St. Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Antwerp | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
