Result
3:1
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 81% (376/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 81% (376/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 69% (95/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', Kanga W. 🟨,
- 18', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
- 30', Konate M. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Dean M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Lopes L. ⚽, Van Der Heyden S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Konate M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 46', Vanrafelghem K. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 60', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 63', Araujo T. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 1, van Brederode M. ⚽, Halhal R. (A),
- 74', Mrabti K. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 81', Servais M. 🟨,
- 82', Dean M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 82', Araujo T. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 82', Hashioka D. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Cisse I. ⚽, Lopes L. (A),
- 90+5', Servais M. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gent
45.9% | Draw
26.4% | KV Mechelen
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Gent - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.99) |
3.59 ↓
(3.76) |
3.42 ↓
(3.46) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gent - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 13.8% – 69.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Mechelen (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 3.
- Gent has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mechelen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gent could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Goore H.
(Muscle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Diouf G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against KV Mechelen?
Gent has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Gent?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - KV Mechelen were as follows:
16.08.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
1:1
07.02.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
3:3
15.09.2024
Gent
-
KV Mechelen
2:0
04.05.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Gent
2:4
20.04.2024
Gent
-
KV Mechelen
3:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
