Result
4:1
19/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/357) | 83% (438/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/357) | 83% (438/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/84) | 71% (112/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 9% (3/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Claes T. ⚽, Gavriel S. (A),
- 25', 2 - 0, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
- 41', 3 - 0, Nyssen B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, El Adfaoui M. ↑,
- 46', Surdez F. ↓, Vanzeir D. ↑,
- 46', Lopes L. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 58', Duverne J. 🟨,
- 60', Araujo T. 🟨,
- 60', Goore H. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 67', Gavriel S. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Duverne J. (A),
- 81', 4 - 1, Erenbjerg J. ⚽,
- 83', Duverne J. ↓, De Vlieger T. ↑,
- 85', Nnadi T. ↓, Lofolomo E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5ee7e2r6
Chances of winning
Zulte Waregem
61.2% | Draw
23.7% | Gent
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-23.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zulte Waregem that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+21%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zulte Waregem - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.57) |
6.54 ↑
(3.58) |
11.05 ↑
(2.55) |
-30.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem - Gent?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Gent will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 26.2% – 69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gent: Dean M.
(Knee Injury)
Samoise M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Waregem: Lemoine L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:46. (average 1.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 1.5:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Gent?
Zulte Waregem has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Zulte Waregem?
Gent has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zulte Waregem - Gent were as follows:
20.07.2024
Gent
-
Zulte Waregem
0:2
19.07.2023
Gent
-
Zulte Waregem
4:2
12.03.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
Gent
2:6
11.09.2022
Gent
-
Zulte Waregem
2:0
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Waregem | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Genk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
