Germany vs Portugal, UEFA Nations League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Nations League Germany - Portugal
Result
1:2
04/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UEFA Nations League - League A - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN, Puls 4, Sky Go Austria
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
cambodiaCambodiaCNC, CTN
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaNova TV, SportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceMolotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, ZDF
greeceGreeceAlpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
irelandIrelandShabake 3, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Three, Virgin Media Two
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCsport Caribbean, ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalRTP 1, Sport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainRTVE Play, TVE La 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.112.56
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
89% (477/535)86% (376/435)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.112.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.91
Total shots
917
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1631
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
109
Passes
89% (477/535)86% (376/435)
Long passes
54% (21/39)46% (17/37)
Passes in final third
77% (86/111)76% (94/124)
Crosses
6% (1/16)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.001.37
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
910
Tackles
79% (11/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4035
Clearances
1519
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.911.22
Goals prevented
-0.090.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Wirtz F. , Kimmich J. (A),
  • 52', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 52', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 58', Neves R. , Vitinha ,
  • 58', Trincao , Conceicao F. ,
  • 58', Neves J. , Semedo N. ,
  • 60', Mittelstadt M. , Gosens R. ,
  • 60', Sane L. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 60', Woltemade N. , Fullkrug N. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Conceicao F. , Dias R. (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Ronaldo C. , Mendes N. (A),
  • 71', Pavlovic A. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 71', Anton W. , Nmecha F. ,
  • 80', Tah J. 🟨,
  • 83', Neto P. , Diogo Jota ,
  • 84', Wirtz F. 🟨,
  • 84', Fullkrug N. 🟨,
  • 84', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ronaldo C. , Palhinha J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Germany
50.7%
Draw
25%
Portugal
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 26.1% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Germany - Portugal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.85)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    3.97
    (4.43)
    3.6%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Germany - Portugal?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Portugal (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Portugal (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Germany will win (97 of 115 users predict this - 84.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.71%90.99%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany will win (21 of 28 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, Germany is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Germany won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).
    Latest results of Germany
    23.03.2025 Germany - Italy 3:3
    20.03.2025 Italy - Germany 1:2
    19.11.2024 Hungary - Germany 1:1
    14.10.2024 Germany - Netherlands 1:0
    Latest results of Portugal
    23.03.2025 Portugal - Denmark 5:2
    20.03.2025 Denmark - Portugal 1:0
    18.11.2024 Croatia - Portugal 1:1
    15.11.2024 Portugal - Poland 5:1
    15.10.2024 Scotland - Portugal 0:0
    Draw
    League A - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1ItalyGermany3 : 3, 1 : 2
    2DenmarkPortugal2 : 5, 1 : 0
    3NetherlandsSpain3 : 4, 2 : 2
    4CroatiaFrance0 : 3, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1GermanyPortugal1 : 2
    2SpainFrance5 : 4

    Final
    1PortugalSpain3 : 2

    3rd place
    2GermanyFrance0 : 2