9 de Julio vs Germinal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
12/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
278
Shots on target
193
Corner Kicks
70
Total shots
278
Shots on target
193
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ibanez M. (Pen),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Peralta B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 63', 3 - 0, Abondetto R. ,
  • 68', 4 - 0, Del Sole N. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Bonilla T. ,

Chances of winning


9 de Julio
68.8%
Draw
22.4%
Germinal
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 23.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 24.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • 9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.
  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germinal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Julio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Germinal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • 9 de Julio - Germinal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.48)
    4.1
    (3.85)
    10.51
    (5.75)
    8.7%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, 9 de Julio is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, 9 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between 9 de Julio - Germinal were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Germinal - 9 de Julio 1:1
    Latest results of 9 de Julio
    Latest results of Germinal
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0