Germinal vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Germinal
29.7%

Draw
32.9%

Alvarado
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

33.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

32.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Germinal - Alvarado Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.14)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)	11.3% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
Germinal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alvarado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alvarado will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Germinal won against Alvarado?

Germinal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Germinal?

Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Alvarado were as follows:

Latest results of Germinal

25.04.2026 Santamarina de Tandil - Germinal 0:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Germinal - Villa Mitre 1:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Círculo Deportivo - Germinal 2:1 ✺

29.03.2026 Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata 0:0 ✺

22.03.2026 Sol de Mayo - Germinal 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Alvarado

26.04.2026 Alvarado - Villa Mitre 1:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Círculo Deportivo - Alvarado 0:1 ✺

11.04.2026 Alvarado - Kimberley de Mar del Plata 0:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Sol de Mayo - Alvarado 0:0 ✺

29.03.2026 Alvarado - Guillermo Brown 2:0 ✺

Argentinian Torneo Federal Table

2026

Group 1

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Douglas Haig	6	6	0	0	11:4	7	18
2	Defensores Belgrano VR	6	3	2	1	11:7	4	11
3	Sportivo Belgrano	7	2	4	1	8:3	5	10
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	6	3	1	2	11:8	3	10
5	Independiente Chivilcoy	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10
6	Chivilcoy	6	3	1	2	5:5	0	10
7	El Linqueno	6	2	1	3	5:9	-4	7
8	Sportivo Las Parejas	6	1	2	3	4:7	-3	5
9	Atletico Escobar	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
10	Gimnasia E.R	6	0	1	5	4:10	-6	1

Group 2

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventud Antoniana	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
2	Bartolome Mitre	6	2	3	1	3:2	1	9
3	San Martin Formosa	5	2	2	1	5:5	0	8
4	Boca Unidos	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7
5	Defensores de Vilelas	6	2	1	3	9:9	0	7
6	Tucuman Central	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7
7	Sol de America	5	2	1	2	4:4	0	7
8	Sarmiento Resistencia	6	0	5	1	6:8	-2	5
9	Sarmiento de La Banda	5	0	3	2	2:5	-3	3

Group 3

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cipolletti	6	3	2	1	10:7	3	11
2	Biblioteca Atenas	5	3	1	1	7:3	4	10
3	Juventud U.U	6	2	3	1	7:4	3	9
4	Huracan Las Heras	6	2	3	1	4:4	0	9
5	Costa Brava	7	1	4	2	6:5	1	7
6	Argentino MM	5	1	3	1	2:3	-1	6
7	Deportivo Rincon	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
8	San Martin Mendoza	5	1	2	2	1:4	-3	5
9	Fundacion Amigos	5	0	2	3	4:10	-6	2

Group 4

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5	5	0	0	7:0	7	15
2	Kimberley	7	2	4	1	5:4	1	10
3	Sol de Mayo	6	2	3	1	4:2	2	9
4	Alvarado	6	2	3	1	4:3	1	9
5	Santamarina	6	1	4	1	6:4	2	7
6	Germinal	5	1	3	1	3:3	0	6
7	Villa Mitre	5	1	2	2	3:3	0	5
8	Circulo Deportivo	6	1	1	4	3:10	-7	4
9	Guillermo Brown	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2

Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )