Germinal vs Kimberley de Mar del Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
517
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Rojas F. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Santilli E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Ibarlucea N. 🟨,
  • 58', Villalba L. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Vazquez S. ,

Chances of winning


Germinal
36.9%
Draw
33.6%
Kimberley de Mar del Plata
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 30.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 30.1% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germinal's form might have worsened.
  • Kimberley de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kimberley de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.07)
    2.71
    (3)
    3.09
    (3.49)
    9.7%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Kimberley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Germinal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal 0:0
    01.09.2024 Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata 1:1
    23.06.2024 Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal 0:0
    28.04.2024 Germinal - Kimberley de Mar del Plata 2:1
    Latest results of Germinal
    24.05.2025 Germinal - Villa Mitre 1:1
    18.05.2025 Guillermo Brown - Germinal 1:2
    11.05.2025 Sol de Mayo - Germinal 1:1
    04.05.2025 Germinal - Cipolletti 0:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )