Ebro vs Gernika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainAragon TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Soeiro K. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Ebro
49%
Draw
29.8%
Gernika
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 28.3% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.1% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Ebro - Gernika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.81)
    3.04
    (3.25)
    4.3
    (4.4)
    10.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Recent performances by Ebro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gernika has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ebro is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ebro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ebro - Gernika were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Gernika - Ebro 2:0
    Latest results of Ebro
    21.03.2026 Real Unión de Irun - Ebro 4:0
    14.03.2026 Ebro - Sestao 1:1
    08.03.2026 Tudelano - Ebro 2:4
    28.02.2026 Ebro - Alfaro 2:1
    22.02.2026 Alavés B - Ebro 1:1
    Latest results of Gernika
    21.03.2026 Gernika - Náxara 2:3
    14.03.2026 Beasain - Gernika 4:0
    08.03.2026 Gernika - UD Logroñés 1:3
    28.02.2026 Eibar B - Gernika 3:2
    22.02.2026 Gernika - Sestao 0:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union ✔ 33199562:352766
    2Alaves B ✔ 331710641:202161
    3Utebo FC33177956:411558
    4UD Logrones33177970:333758
    5Tudelano ✔ 33159955:401554
    6Ebro331116642:33949
    7Amorebieta3312111036:32447
    8Sestao331114839:33647
    9Eibar B331371338:40-246
    10Gernika331281334:40-644
    11Basconia331014950:42844
    12Naxara331181437:45-841
    13SD Logrones338131222:39-1737
    14Ejea338111434:50-1635
    15Beasain ✔ 337121435:44-933
    16Mutilvera ✔ 33861931:63-3230
    17Zaragoza B ✔ 33771930:56-2628
    18Alfaro ✔ 33672032:58-2625

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
    Alaves B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
    Tudelano is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
    Beasain is Relegated to
    Mutilvera is Relegated to
    Zaragoza B is Relegated to
    Alfaro is Relegated to