Subiza vs Gernika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Subiza - Gernika
Result
2:2
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Larrauri J. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Sola J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Arzalluz M. (Pen),
  • 85', 2 - 2, Arrasate I. ,

Chances of winning


Subiza
19.3%
Draw
23.4%
Gernika
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 29.3% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 28.8% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Subiza's form might have worsened.
  • Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gernika's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Subiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gernika, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Subiza - Gernika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.78
    (3.25)
    3.95
    (3.1)
    1.61
    (2.12)
    8.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Subiza is Relegated to
    • Subiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Gernika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Gernika is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Subiza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Subiza - Gernika were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Gernika - Subiza 1:1
    Latest results of Subiza
    20.04.2025 UD Logroñés - Subiza 3:0
    13.04.2025 Subiza - Alavés B 0:2
    06.04.2025 Zaragoza B - Subiza 2:1
    29.03.2025 Subiza - Alfaro 3:0
    22.03.2025 Real Sociedad C - Subiza 2:1
    Latest results of Gernika
    20.04.2025 Gernika - Barbastro 2:1
    13.04.2025 Anguiano - Gernika 0:0
    30.03.2025 SD Logroñés - Gernika 3:1
    23.03.2025 Gernika - Calahorra 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2