Result
1:3
19/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Referee: Maarouf Eid M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (296/382) | 72% (206/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (296/382) | 72% (206/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (40/75) | 49% (39/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (76/125) | 54% (40/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
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| 89% (8/9) | 100% (7/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.67 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', 0 - 2, Etman A. ⚽, Saidi K. (A),
- 44', 1 - 2, Sulieman A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', Hamza A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Namgbema L. ↓, Elkhashab S. ↑,
- 46', Etman A. ↓, Arfaoui R. ↑,
- 46', Hamza A. ↓, Farouk M. ↑,
- 57', Aka S. 🟨,
- 63', Rahim M. A. ↓, El Said O. ↑,
- 63', Said M. ↓, Al Agouz S. ↑,
- 73', Ngwem J. ↓, El Fayoumi E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Salah M. ⚽, Saidi K. (A),
- 86', Walid B. ↓, Williams S. ↑,
- 86', Salah M. ↓, Bolbol M. ↑,
- 90+2', Shousha A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Saidi K. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kahrabaa Ismailia
30.9% | Draw
33.8% | Ghazl El Mahalla
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kahrabaa Ismailia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.81) |
2.74 ↑
(2.7) |
2.63 ↓
(2.85) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 71.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ghazl El Mahalla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kahrabaa Ismailia won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Kahrabaa Ismailia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kahrabaa Ismailia - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
17.10.2025
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Kahrabaa Ismailia
1:0
Latest results of Kahrabaa Ismailia
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
