Result
2:0
11/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2, hard - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
Gian Luca Tanner
34.9% | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gian Luca Tanner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Luca Tanner than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gian Luca Tanner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gian Luca Tanner - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.96) |
|
1.45 ↑
(1.37) |
6.4%
(7.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Tanner is ranked ATP: 1420. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 706.
- Tanner is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gonzalez Fernandez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gonzalez Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gonzalez Fernandez is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Gian Luca Tanner won against Mario Gonzalez Fernandez?
Gian Luca Tanner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mario Gonzalez Fernandez won against Gian Luca Tanner?
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gian Luca Tanner - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez were as follows:
Latest results of Gian Luca Tanner
Latest results of Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Hussey G. (1) | Gasanov R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | COLLAR E. | Blanco Fernandez de Leceta E. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Loureiro J. V. C. | Rodriguez R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Dominguez Alonso J. | Lagutin P. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Dalmasso G. (3) | Garcia Paez L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Helguera Casado L. | Fernandez Ruiz R. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Petrovic A. | Watzka R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Rivera L. | Perez B. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Tsitsipas Pa. (5) | Ros Mesas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Bobichon M. | Turriziani Alvarez A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Tanner G. L. | Lopez Cherubino N. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Rodenas P. | Gonzalez Fernandez M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | De Jonge D. (7) | Goldberg Alviani N. R. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Peck J. | De Felipe Garcia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Martinez M. | Benito Fernandez N. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malirz K. | De Krom M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Hussey G. (1) | COLLAR E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Loureiro J. V. C. | Lagutin P. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Dalmasso G. (3) | Helguera Casado L. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Petrovic A. | Rivera L. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tsitsipas Pa. (5) | Bobichon M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Tanner G. L. | Gonzalez Fernandez M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | De Jonge D. (7) | Peck J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Martinez M. | De Krom M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Hussey G. (1) | Loureiro J. V. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dalmasso G. (3) | Rivera L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bobichon M. | Tanner G. L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jonge D. (7) | Martinez M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hussey G. (1) | Dalmasso G. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bobichon M. | De Jonge D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Hussey G. (1) | Bobichon M. | 2 : 0 |
