Gian Luca Tanner vs Mert Alkaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/11/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Islamabad, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
514
Double Faults
84
1st Serve Percentage
56%50%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (35/53)74% (37/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (19/41)47% (24/51)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
26% (13/50)34% (18/53)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (27/51)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
57% (54/94)60% (61/101)
Return Points Won
40% (40/101)43% (40/94)
Total Points Won
48% (94/195)52% (101/195)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
45% (14/31)55% (17/31)

Chances of winning


Gian Luca Tanner
30.9%
Mert Alkaya
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gian Luca Tanner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gian Luca Tanner's form might have worsened.
  • Mert Alkaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mert Alkaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Luca Tanner than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gian Luca Tanner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gian Luca Tanner - Mert Alkaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.26)

    1.35
    (1.56)
    7.2%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tanner is ranked ATP: 897. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 473.
    • Tanner has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alkaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tanner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alkaya could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Alkaya will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Gian Luca Tanner
    Latest results of Mert Alkaya
    18.11.2025 Mert Alkaya - Jannik Opitz Alkaya M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Bye
    2Brown P.Cazacu D. N.0 : 2
    3Aleshchev A. (Alt)Tanner G. L.0 : 2
    4Iftikhar S. (Q)Alkaya M. (6)0 : 2
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Gretskiy I. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Murtaza M. (WC)Khalil Y. (Q)2 : 1
    7Arcon A. (Alt)Nikles J.0 : 2
    8Ujvary M. (Alt)Borg L. (7)0 : 2
    9Palan D. (8)Horoz A.2 : 0
    10Borrelli L. (Alt)Bataljin L. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Stephens Z.Saritas G. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Bilozertsev N.Purtseladze S. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    13Ursu V. (5)Shoaib M. (WC)2 : 1
    14Derepasko T.Kirci K. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Khan A. (WC)Dinev D. (Alt)1 : 2
    16ByeClarke J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Cazacu D. N.2 : 0
    2Tanner G. L.Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Murtaza M.2 : 0
    4Nikles J.Borg L. (7)2 : 1
    5Palan D. (8)Borrelli L.2 : 0
    6Stephens Z.Bilozertsev N. (RET.)1 : 1
    7Ursu V. (5)Derepasko T.2 : 0
    8Dinev D.Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ymer E. (1)Alkaya M. (6)1 : 2
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Nikles J.2 : 1
    3Palan D. (8)Stephens Z.0 : 2
    4Ursu V. (5)Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alkaya M. (6)Yevseyev D. (4)2 : 1
    2Stephens Z.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alkaya M. (6)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2