Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/11/2025 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
63%70%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (33/52)71% (40/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (14/31)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
29% (16/56)37% (19/52)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (13/24)55% (17/31)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)33% (3/9)
Winners
2129
Unforced Errors
3135
Net Points Won
70% (7/10)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
57% (47/83)64% (51/80)
Return Points Won
36% (29/80)43% (36/83)
Total Points Won
47% (76/163)53% (87/163)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Gianluca Cadenasso
42.9%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7% 43.3%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(1.83)

1.64
(1.83)
7.3%
(9.3%)
What is the prediction for Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.51%98.83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 395. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 172.
    • Cadenasso is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Merida Aguilar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Gianluca Cadenasso
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    2Bondioli F. (NG)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    3Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Rocha F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cadenasso G. (SE)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    5Moller E. (3)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Michalski D.Curras Abasolo T. (Q)2 : 1
    7Blancaneaux G.Napolitano S. (PR)2 : 0
    8Pereira T.Lopez Montagud C. (Q)0 : 2
    9Giustino L. (7)Cretu C. (LL)2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Martin A. (Q)1 : 2
    11Vatutin A. (LL)Agamenone F.2 : 1
    12Elias G. (WC)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Kolar Z. (8)Damas M.1 : 2
    14Andreev A. (PR)Marmousez L. (Q)1 : 2
    15Sanchez Izquierdo N.Sanchez Jover C. (Q)0 : 2
    16Jianu F. C.Faria J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 1
    2Santamarta Roig A.Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    3Moller E. (3)Michalski D.2 : 1
    4Blancaneaux G.Lopez Montagud C.1 : 2
    5Giustino L. (RET.) (7)Martin A.0 : 1
    6Vatutin A.Rocha H. (4)2 : 0
    7Damas M.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Jover C.Jianu F. C.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (5)0 : 2
    2Moller E. (3)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Martin A.Vatutin A.2 : 0
    4Marmousez L.Jianu F. C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D. (5)Moller E. (3)0 : 2
    2Martin A.Marmousez L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Moller E. (3)Martin A.2 : 0