Sebastian Sorger vs Gianluca Cadenasso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/10/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 12, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
64

Chances of winning


Sebastian Sorger
31%
Gianluca Cadenasso
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Sorger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.75)

    1.34
    (1.41)
    7.8%
    (7.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sorger is ranked ATP: 585. Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 507.
    • Sorger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cadenasso is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cadenasso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cadenasso is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Cadenasso will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sorger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Sorger - Gianluca Cadenasso were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Sorger 2:0
    Latest results of Gianluca Cadenasso
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Gakhov I. (1)Pisanu M.2 : 0
    2Cocola S.Mazza M.0 : 2
    3Sorger S.Miletich I.2 : 1
    4Oradini G.Cadenasso G. (8)1 : 2
    5Sanchez Jover C. (3)Aubriot A.2 : 0
    6Pieleanu R. T.Ferrari G.0 : 2
    7Mecarelli M.Gill F.0 : 2
    8Gandolfi G.Krumich M. (6)0 : 2
    9Chepelev A. (7)Hardt N.0 : 2
    10Iannaccone F.Macchione S. (LL)2 : 0
    11Maurice H. (LL)Martin Manzano J. C.0 : 2
    12Schiavone P.Potenza L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bondioli F. (5)Tabacco G.2 : 1
    14Moroni F.Berto L.2 : 0
    15Marino P.de Marchi A.1 : 2
    16Bove F.Jianu F. C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gakhov I. (1)Mazza M.2 : 0
    2Sorger S.Cadenasso G. (8)1 : 2
    3Sanchez Jover C. (3)Ferrari G.0 : 2
    4Gill F.Krumich M. (6)0 : 2
    5Hardt N.Iannaccone F.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C.Potenza L. (4)2 : 0
    7Bondioli F. (5)Moroni F.0 : 2
    8de Marchi A.Jianu F. C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gakhov I. (1)Cadenasso G. (8)1 : 2
    2Ferrari G.Krumich M. (6)0 : 2
    3Hardt N.Martin Manzano J. C.1 : 2
    4Moroni F.Jianu F. C. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cadenasso G. (8)Krumich M. (6)2 : 0
    2Martin Manzano J. C.Moroni F.0 : 2

    Final
    1Cadenasso G. (8)Moroni F. (RET.)0 : 0