Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 14:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
64
1st serve percentage
54%70%
1st serve points won
69% (29/42)70% (46/66)
2nd serve points won
53% (19/36)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
3/75/7
1st return points won
32% (21/66)31% (13/42)
2nd return points won
54% (15/28)47% (17/36)
Break Points Converted
2/74/7
Winners
2813
Unforced errors
4238
Net points won
50% (2/4)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
62% (48/78)63% (59/94)
Return Points Won
37% (35/94)38% (30/78)
Total Points Won
48% (83/172)52% (89/172)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)85% (11/13)
Return games won
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Gianluca Cadenasso
35.7%
Thiago Monteiro
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.75)

    1.46
    (1.4)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Gianluca Cadenasso - Thiago Monteiro?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4 Games - Cadenasso (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cadenasso (votes: 1 - 50%). Monteiro (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 298. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cadenasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Monteiro is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Gianluca Cadenasso
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Torrealba B. (Q)2 : 1
    3Cadenasso G.Monteiro T.1 : 2
    4Dedura D. (WC)Galan D. E. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Marcondes I. (Q)1 : 2
    6Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)Soto M.2 : 0
    7Olivieri G. A.Heide G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Collarini A.Barrena A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (7)Mena F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Sanchez Izquierdo N.Kingsley C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Rodriguez Taverna S.Malla B. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sakamoto P. (Q)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Reis Da Silva J. (8)Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Salazar A. (WC)Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2
    15Varillas J. P.Bueno G.0 : 2
    16Agamenone F.Justo G. I. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Meligeni Alves F.2 : 1
    2Monteiro T.Dedura D.2 : 0
    3Marcondes I.Moreno De Alboran N.1 : 2
    4Olivieri G. A.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Mena F.Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    6Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.)Rocha H. (4)0 : 1
    7Reis Da Silva J. (8)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2
    8Bueno G.Agamenone F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    2Moreno De Alboran N.Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    3Sanchez Izquierdo N.Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    4Boscardin Dias P.Bueno G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Monteiro T.Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    2Rocha H. (4)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Olivieri G. A.Rocha H. (4)