Gianluca Mager vs Giovanni Fonio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Milan Challenger Men Gianluca Mager - Giovanni Fonio
Result
0:2
22/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Gianluca Mager - Giovanni Fonio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
59%64%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (27/42)81% (26/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (14/29)67% (12/18)
Break Points Saved
80% (12/15)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
28% (9/32)40% (17/42)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (6/18)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)20% (3/15)
Service Points Won
55% (39/71)76% (38/50)
Return Points Won
24% (12/50)45% (32/71)
Total Points Won
42% (51/121)58% (70/121)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Gianluca Mager
36.7%
Giovanni Fonio
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.
  • Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Gianluca Mager - Giovanni Fonio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.21)

    1.48
    (1.62)
    6.6%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mager is ranked ATP: 431. Fonio is ranked ATP: 376.
    • Mager has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Fonio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mager may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fonio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Gianluca Mager
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Piraino G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Berrettini J. (Q)Squire H. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Erhard M.Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    4Martin A.Gakhov I. (8)1 : 2
    5Soto M. (4)Pereira T. (LL)1 : 2
    6Jodar R. (JR)Giustino L.2 : 0
    7Dedura D. (NG)Gea A.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (6)Vatutin A. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Cecchinato M. (WC)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Faurel T. (Q)Bondioli F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fonio G. (Q)Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    13Poljicak M. (7)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Vasami J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Prihodko O. (Alt)Albot R.2 : 0
    16Mikrut L.Coppejans K. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Negritu Ch.Gakhov I. (8)2 : 0
    3Pereira T.Jodar R.1 : 2
    4Gea A.Roca Batalla O.2 : 1
    5Ferreira Silva F. (6)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T.Houkes M. (3)1 : 2
    7Poljicak M. (7)Vasami J.1 : 2
    8Prihodko O.Mikrut L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Gea A.2 : 1
    3Cecchinato M.Houkes M. (3)2 : 0
    4Vasami J.Mikrut L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Prizmic D. (1)Jodar R.2 : 1
    2Cecchinato M.Vasami J.2 : 0

    Final
    1Prizmic D. (1)Cecchinato M.0 : 2
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