Result
2:1
12/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 70% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (36/49) | 63% (32/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 27% (13/49) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 43% (13/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (52/78) | 59% (42/71) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 33% (26/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (81/149) | 46% (68/149) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 40% (10/25) |
Chances of winning
Gianmarco Ferrari
46.5% | Lorenzo Carboni
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianmarco Ferrari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gianmarco Ferrari - Lorenzo Carboni Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.86) |
|
1.75 ↓
(1.86) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Ferrari is ranked ATP: 594. Carboni is ranked ATP: 552.
- Ferrari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Carboni is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Gianmarco Ferrari won against Lorenzo Carboni?
Gianmarco Ferrari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Carboni won against Gianmarco Ferrari?
Lorenzo Carboni has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gianmarco Ferrari - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
03.04.2025
Gianmarco Ferrari
-
Lorenzo Carboni
2:0
Latest results of Gianmarco Ferrari
Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Dodig M. (9) | Juarez F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ferrari G. (Q) | Carboni L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Romano F. (LL) | Tabacco F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Skatov T. (SE) | Bueno G. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Budkov Kjaer N. (3) | Torres J. B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Villanueva G. (Alt) | Pucinelli de Almeida M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Forti F. (PR) | Vasa E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Mrva M. (NG) | Vacherot V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Travaglia S. (6) | Pereira T. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Vasami J. (WC) | Noce G. M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Sanchez Jover C. | Basile P. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | Neumayer L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | Vatutin A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Cecchinato M. | Bertola R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Poljicak M. | Prado Angelo J. C. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Arnaboldi F. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Juarez F. | Ferrari G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Romano F. | Skatov T. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Budkov Kjaer N. (3) | Pucinelli de Almeida M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Forti F. | Vacherot V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Travaglia S. (6) | Vasami J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sanchez Jover C. | Neumayer L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Vatutin A. | Cecchinato M. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Prado Angelo J. C. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ferrari G. | Skatov T. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Budkov Kjaer N. (3) | Vacherot V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (6) | Neumayer L. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. | Prado Angelo J. C. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Skatov T. | Vacherot V. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. (6) | Prado Angelo J. C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Skatov T. | Travaglia S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
