Gianmarco Ferrari vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Todi Challenger Men Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola
Result
0:2
13/08/2024 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Drazic A. (Cro)

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
74%69%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (20/35)76% (25/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
17% (2/12)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/33)43% (15/35)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (7/15)83% (10/12)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)56% (5/9)
Max Points In Row
56
Service Points Won
47% (22/47)69% (33/48)
Return Points Won
31% (15/48)53% (25/47)
Total Points Won
39% (37/95)61% (58/95)
Max Games In Row
39
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Gianmarco Ferrari
60%
Luca Castagnola
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianmarco Ferrari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.6)

    2.34
    (2.22)
    7.1%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferrari will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Castagnola will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ferrari is ranked ATP: 500. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 645.
    • Ferrari is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Castagnola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ferrari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ferrari will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Luca Castagnola - Gianmarco Ferrari 1:2
    03.04.2023 Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola 2:1
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Torres J. B. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Piraino G. (WC)Lopez Montagud C.0 : 2
    3Dellavedova M. (LL)Elias G.0 : 2
    4Agamenone F.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (4)Picchione A. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    6Neumayer L.Pavlovic L. (Q)1 : 2
    7Basile P. (Q)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Blancaneaux G. (7)2 : 0
    9Mager G. (9)Gill F.0 : 2
    10Fonio G.Cretu C.0 : 2
    11Klizan M. (Alt)Juarez F. (Q)0 : 2
    12Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Tabur C. (3)2 : 0
    13Collarini A. (6)Dodig M.0 : 2
    14Cadenasso G. (Q)Giustino L.0 : 2
    15Ferrari G. (WC)Castagnola L. (Q)0 : 2
    16Rodriguez Taverna S.Jianu F. C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    2Elias G.Agamenone F.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (4)Pavlovic L.1 : 2
    4Basile P.Taberner C.0 : 2
    5Gill F.Cretu C.1 : 2
    6Juarez F.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    7Dodig M.Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Castagnola L.Rodriguez Taverna S.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Elias G.2 : 0
    2Pavlovic L.Taberner C.1 : 2
    3Cretu C.Juarez F. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Giustino L.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Travaglia S. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2Cretu C.Rodriguez Taverna S.1 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0