Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Gianmarco Ferrari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 8 Men Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianmarco Ferrari
Result
2:0
22/09/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
55

Chances of winning


Gilles Arnaud Bailly
77.5%
Gianmarco Ferrari
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.4% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gilles Arnaud Bailly's performance.
  • Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gianmarco Ferrari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianmarco Ferrari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gianmarco Ferrari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.32)

    4.17
    (3.14)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bailly is ranked ATP: 264. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 621.
    • Bailly is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferrari has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Bailly is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Latest results of Gianmarco Ferrari
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Bailly G. A. (1)Ferrari G.2 : 0
    2Sciahbasi L. (RET.)Iannaccone F.0 : 0
    3Overmyer K.Rahmani K.0 : 2
    4Rossi L.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini J. (4)Borsoi J.2 : 0
    6Cocola S.Mazzola F.2 : 1
    7Bilardo J.Toffanin N.2 : 0
    8Valletta L.Weis A. (6)0 : 2
    9Compagnucci T. (7)de Marchi A.2 : 1
    10Handel T.Romano F.0 : 2
    11Mura M.Bove F.0 : 2
    12Oradini G.Bielinskyi V. (3)2 : 0
    13Wenger D. (8)Petkovic M.0 : 2
    14Ribecai M.Rapagnetta D.2 : 0
    15Tabacco G.Bocci F.2 : 0
    16Lapsansky A.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bailly G. A. (1)Iannaccone F.0 : 2
    2Rahmani K.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    3Berrettini J. (4)Cocola S.2 : 0
    4Bilardo J.Weis A. (6)2 : 0
    5Compagnucci T. (7)Romano F.2 : 0
    6Bove F.Oradini G.0 : 2
    7Petkovic M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    8Tabacco G.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Iannaccone F.Krutykh O. (5)0 : 2
    2Berrettini J. (4)Bilardo J.2 : 1
    3Compagnucci T. (7)Oradini G. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Ribecai M.Michalski D. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Krutykh O. (5)Berrettini J. (4)0 : 2
    2Compagnucci T. (7)Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Berrettini J. (4)Michalski D. (2)2 : 0