Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hayato Matsuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
51%60%
1st serve points won
70% (21/30)56% (15/27)
2nd serve points won
55% (16/29)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)0% (0/5)
1st return points won
44% (12/27)50% (15/30)
2nd return points won
67% (12/18)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)20% (1/5)
Winners
1218
Unforced errors
1535
Net points won
100% (3/3)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
63% (37/59)47% (21/45)
Return Points Won
53% (24/45)37% (22/59)
Total Points Won
59% (61/104)41% (43/104)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (7/8)38% (3/8)
Return games won
63% (5/8)13% (1/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Gilles Arnaud Bailly
64.2%
Hayato Matsuoka
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.5% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 28.1%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hayato Matsuoka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.46
(1.36)

2.58
(2.95)
7.3%
(7.6%)
What is the prediction for Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hayato Matsuoka?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bailly (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bailly is ranked ATP: 208. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 410.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Matsuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bailly is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Barsukov N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Jorda Sanchis D. (RET.) (Q)Shin S.1 : 1
    3Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Ribecai M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Simakin I.Cina F. (5)2 : 1
    5Bailly G. A. (3)Matsuoka H. (Q)2 : 0
    6Kwon S. (SE)Sakellaridis S.0 : 2
    7Jones M.Sharipov M.2 : 0
    8Vu Ha Minh Duc (WC)Martin Tiffon P. (8)0 : 2
    9Zhou Y. (6)Cui J.2 : 0
    10Denolly C.Chung H.2 : 0
    11Blanch Dar.Ferguson C. (Q)2 : 0
    12Bertrand R.Hsu Y. H. (4)0 : 2
    13Michalski D. (7)Handel T. (WC)2 : 0
    14Marmousez L. (RET.)Jasika O.0 : 0
    15Bax F.Sun F.2 : 1
    16Gengel M. (Q)Crawford O. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Barsukov N.Shin S.2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.Simakin I.1 : 2
    3Bailly G. A. (3)Sakellaridis S.0 : 2
    4Jones M.Martin Tiffon P. (8)0 : 2
    5Zhou Y. (6)Denolly C.2 : 0
    6Blanch Dar.Hsu Y. H. (4)1 : 2
    7Michalski D. (7)Jasika O.2 : 1
    8Bax F.Gengel M. (RET.)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Barsukov N.Simakin I.0 : 2
    2Sakellaridis S.Martin Tiffon P. (8)2 : 0
    3Zhou Y. (6)Hsu Y. H. (4)2 : 0
    4Michalski D. (7)Bax F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Simakin I.Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    2Zhou Y. (6)Michalski D. (RET.) (7)1 : 0

    Final
    1Simakin I.Zhou Y. (6)2 : 0