Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Maxim Mrva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto 2 Challenger Men Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maxim Mrva
Result
2:0
25/08/2025 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
59%50%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (15/26)46% (12/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (11/18)19% (5/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)50% (7/14)
1st Return Points Won
54% (14/26)42% (11/26)
2nd Return Points Won
81% (21/26)39% (7/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (7/14)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
59% (26/44)33% (17/52)
Return Points Won
67% (35/52)41% (18/44)
Total Points Won
64% (61/96)36% (35/96)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
71% (5/7)13% (1/8)
Return Games Won
88% (7/8)29% (2/7)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Gilles Arnaud Bailly
51.6%
Maxim Mrva
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maxim Mrva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.73)

    1.94
    (2)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bailly is ranked ATP: 380. Mrva is ranked ATP: 424.
    • Bailly has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mrva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bailly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Maxim Mrva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Seyboth Wild T. (1)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    2Pereira T.Dodig M.1 : 2
    3Wallin O. (Q)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A. (Alt)Olivieri G. A. (7)0 : 2
    5Barrena A. (4)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    6Alvarez Varona N.Strombachs R. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Bailly G. A. (NG)Mrva M. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Araujo P. (WC)Ymer E. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (8)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Torres T. (Q)Barton H.2 : 1
    11Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 0
    12Brunold M.Rocha H. (3)2 : 0
    13Popko D. (6)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    14Michalski D.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Rocha F. (WC)McKennon M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    16Poljicak M.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Dodig M.2 : 0
    2Moro Canas A.Olivieri G. A. (7)2 : 1
    3Barrena A. (4)Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    4Bailly G. A.Araujo P.2 : 0
    5Ferreira Silva F. (8)Torres T.2 : 0
    6Jorda Sanchis D.Brunold M.2 : 1
    7Kuzmanov D.Michalski D.1 : 2
    8Rocha F.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    2Alvarez Varona N.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F. (8)Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moro Canas A.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    2Ferreira Silva F. (8)Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2