Result
2:3
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports |
 World | K League TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽,
- 36', Kang M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Al Arab Y. ⚽, Kim Jin-Su (A),
- 41', Choi Jun 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kang M. ↓, Lee G. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Babec H. ⚽,
- 62', Moon Seon-Min ↓, Jeong Seung-Won ↑,
- 62', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Lim Dug-Keun ↑,
- 64', Byeon Jun-Soo 🟨,
- 69', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
- 69', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Hong Si-Hoo ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Park T. ⚽,
- 76', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Cho Young-Wook ↑,
- 76', Hwang Do-Yun ↓, Lee Seung-Mo ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, Kim In-Gyun ⚽, Lee Jung-Taek (A),
- 83', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑,
- 85', Al Arab Y. ↓, Park Seong-hun ↑,
- 90+2', Lee Jung-Taek 🟨,
- 90+8', Kim Jin-Su 🟨,
Chances of winning
FC Seoul
54.5% | Draw
25.7% | Gimcheon Sangmu
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Seoul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.75) |
3.66 ↑
(3.57) |
4.8 ↑
(4.45) |
6.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Seoul will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 2.
- Seoul is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gimcheon Sangmu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Seoul is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Seoul will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Seoul won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
FC Seoul has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against FC Seoul?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
22.11.2025
FC Seoul
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
1:3
17.08.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
FC Seoul
5:2
28.05.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
FC Seoul
0:1
03.03.2025
FC Seoul
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:0
23.11.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
FC Seoul
1:3
Latest results of FC Seoul
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Seoul | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 25 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Ulsan HD | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 4 | Gangwon | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Daejeon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Pohang | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Anyang | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Incheon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | -21 | 6 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
