Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju
Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, IB Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
103
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
177
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1013
Fouls
128
Goalkeeper Saves
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Lee Seung-Won , Kim Yi-Seok ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lee Dong-Jun , Jeon Byung-Kwan ,
  • 46', Tiago Alves , Kim Ryun-Seong ,
  • 46', Lee Chang-Min , Oh Jae-Hyeok ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Park Sang-Hyeok ,
  • 60', Yuri Tanque , Pedrinho ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Kim Yi-Seok , Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
  • 68', 3 - 0, Kim Kang-San ,
  • 72', Kim J. , Choi B. ,
  • 73', Italo 🟨,
  • 74', Jang M. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 1, Kim Kang-San (Own goal),
  • 81', Maeng Seong-Ung , Park Se-Jin ,
  • 81', Oh In-Pyo , Go Jae-Hyeon ,
  • 81', Yu In-Soo , Lim Chai-Min ,
  • 88', Lee Dong-Gyeong , Won Ki-Jong ,
  • 90+2', Lee Ju-Hyun 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
48.2%
Draw
26.3%
Jeju
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 26.4% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.9% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2)
    3.59
    (3.57)
    3.67
    (3.57)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gimcheon Sangmu will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju 1:1
    22.02.2025 Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:3
    01.09.2024 Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu 1:0
    18.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju 1:0
    13.04.2024 Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu 0:2
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Latest results of Jeju
    23.07.2025 Jeju - FC Seoul 3:2
    19.07.2025 Jeju - Anyang 2:0
    27.06.2025 Daejeon Citizen - Jeju 1:1
    21.06.2025 Pohang Steelers - Jeju 2:1
    18.06.2025 Jeju - Gwangju 0:1
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk24166243:192454
    2Gimcheon Sangmu24116734:241039
    3Daejeon24109532:28439
    4Seoul2499627:23436
    5Pohang24105930:34-435
    6Gwangju FC2488825:28-332
    7Ulsan HD2487930:29131
    8Gangwon24861024:30-630
    9Jeju SK24851127:32-529
    10Suwon FC24771031:32-128
    11Anyang24831329:32-327
    12Daegu24351624:45-2114

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )