Result
3:1
26/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
- 46', Tiago Alves ↓, Kim Ryun-Seong ↑,
- 46', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Oh Jae-Hyeok ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Park Sang-Hyeok ⚽,
- 60', Yuri Tanque ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Kim Yi-Seok ⚽, Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
- 68', 3 - 0, Kim Kang-San ⚽,
- 72', Kim J. ↓, Choi B. ↑,
- 73', Italo 🟨,
- 74', Jang M. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 1, Kim Kang-San (Own goal),
- 81', Maeng Seong-Ung ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑,
- 81', Oh In-Pyo ↓, Go Jae-Hyeon ↑,
- 81', Yu In-Soo ↓, Lim Chai-Min ↑,
- 88', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
- 90+2', Lee Ju-Hyun 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimcheon Sangmu
48.2% | Draw
26.3% | Jeju
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2) |
3.59 ↑
(3.57) |
3.67 ↑
(3.57) |
6.3%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Gimcheon Sangmu will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Jeju?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jeju won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Jeju has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeju were as follows:
17.05.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Jeju
1:1
22.02.2025
Jeju
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
2:3
01.09.2024
Jeju
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
18.05.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Jeju
1:0
13.04.2024
Jeju
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
0:2
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:32 | 3 | 42 |
| 4 | Pohang | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 41 |
| 5 | Seoul | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 35 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 35 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Suwon FC | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Jeju SK | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Anyang | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30:35 | -5 | 27 |
| 12 | Daegu | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
