Result
3:2
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- K League 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Malaysia | Astro Football |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, IB Sports |
 World | K League TV, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Choi Ye-Hoon ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
- 31', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽, Park Chan-Yong (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 49', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Lacava M. ↑,
- 58', Ko Seung-Beom 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Park Soo-Il ⚽,
- 63', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
- 70', Park Sang-Hyeok 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Erick Farias (Pen),
- 77', Ludwigson G. ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
- 82', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Choi Seok-Hyun ↑,
- 87', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Lee Seung-Won ↑,
- 87', Mo Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kim Min-Duk ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Erick Farias ⚽, Um Won-Sang (A),
- 90', 3 - 2, Um Won-Sang ⚽, Park Min-Seo (A),
- 90+3', Lee Seung-Won 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ulsan HD
43.6% | Draw
26.3% | Gimcheon Sangmu
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.8) |
3.58 ↑
(3.35) |
3.15 ↓
(3.4) |
6.2%
(14.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 2.
- Ulsan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gimcheon Sangmu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Gimcheon Sangmu has had a series of away games.
- Ulsan could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:13. (average 2.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Gimcheon Sangmu?
Ulsan HD has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimcheon Sangmu won against Ulsan HD?
Gimcheon Sangmu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
27.04.2025
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Ulsan HD
2:0
19.10.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Ulsan HD
0:0
06.10.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
2:1
12.05.2024
Ulsan HD
-
Gimcheon Sangmu
2:2
09.03.2024
Gimcheon Sangmu
-
Ulsan HD
2:3
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
South Korean K-League 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jeonbuk ✔ | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 51:23 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 39:36 | 3 | 45 |
| 4 | Pohang | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 44 |
| 5 | Seoul | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | Gwangju FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Gangwon | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Anyang | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 35:38 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | Suwon FC | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Jeju SK | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Daegu ✔ | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
K League 1 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Jeonbuk is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
Daegu is K League 1 (Relegation Group )
