Gimcheon Sangmu vs Ulsan HD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD
Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, IB Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
127
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
109
Fouls
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Lee Dong-Jun ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Choi Ye-Hoon , Park Cheol-Woo ,
  • 54', Ludwigson G. , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 69', Lacava M. , Lee H. ,
  • 69', Choi Seok-Hyun , Kang Sang-Woo ,
  • 69', Lee Dong-Jun , Won Ki-Jong ,
  • 74', Park Sang-Hyeok , Park Tae-Jun ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Kim Seung-Sub , Lee Dong-Gyeong (A),
  • 80', Heo Yool , Yoon Jae-Seok ,
  • 81', 3 - 0, Lee Dong-Gyeong , Park Tae-Jun (A),
  • 84', Lee Dong-Gyeong , Kim Joo-Chan ,
  • 84', Lee Seung-Won , Park Se-Jin ,
  • 90+4', Kang Sang-Woo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gimcheon Sangmu
39.6%
Draw
25.8%
Ulsan HD
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 25.9% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 26.8% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.42)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    2.71
    (2.74)
    6.9%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Gimcheon Sangmu is Qualified for K League 1 (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:49. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 3:2
    27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 2:0
    19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 0:0
    06.10.2024 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:1
    12.05.2024 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:2
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    27.09.2025 Daegu - Ulsan HD 1:1
    21.09.2025 Ulsan HD - Anyang 0:0
    13.09.2025 Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD 1:1
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk33218457:273071
    2Gimcheon Sangmu331671053:371655
    3Daejeon331510848:41755
    4Pohang331561240:43-351
    5Seoul3311121043:42145
    6Gangwon3311111132:36-444
    7Anyang331261542:41142
    8Gwangju FC331191334:40-642
    9Ulsan HD3310101339:43-440
    10Suwon FC331081548:53-538
    11Jeju SK33881735:47-1232
    12Daegu33691841:62-2127

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )