Ulsan HD vs Gimcheon Sangmu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South Korean K-League 1 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu
Result
3:2
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • K League 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play, IB Sports
worldWorldK League TV, Onefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
138
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
138
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
133
Fouls
312
Goalkeeper Saves
610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Choi Ye-Hoon , Cho Hyun-Taek ,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong , Park Chan-Yong (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lee Chung-Yong , Um Won-Sang ,
  • 49', Yoon Jae-Seok , Lacava M. ,
  • 58', Ko Seung-Beom 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Park Soo-Il ,
  • 63', Jung Woo-Young , Park Min-Seo ,
  • 70', Park Sang-Hyeok 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Erick Farias (Pen),
  • 77', Ludwigson G. , Heo Yool ,
  • 82', Kang Sang-Woo , Choi Seok-Hyun ,
  • 87', Seo Min-Woo , Lee Seung-Won ,
  • 87', Mo Jae-Hyeon , Kim Min-Duk ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Erick Farias , Um Won-Sang (A),
  • 90', 3 - 2, Um Won-Sang , Park Min-Seo (A),
  • 90+3', Lee Seung-Won 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ulsan HD
43.6%
Draw
26.3%
Gimcheon Sangmu
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 26% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.1% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Gimcheon Sangmu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimcheon Sangmu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.8)
    3.58
    (3.35)
    3.15
    (3.4)
    6.2%
    (14.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 2.
    • Ulsan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gimcheon Sangmu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Gimcheon Sangmu has had a series of away games.
    • Ulsan could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:21. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:13. (average 2.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 2:0
    19.10.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 0:0
    06.10.2024 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:1
    12.05.2024 Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu 2:2
    09.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD 2:3
    Latest results of Ulsan HD
    17.05.2025 Gangwon - Ulsan HD 1:1
    14.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Incheon United 3:0
    11.05.2025 Jeju - Ulsan HD 1:2
    05.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers 1:1
    02.05.2025 Ulsan HD - Gwangju 3:0
    Latest results of Gimcheon Sangmu
    South Korean K-League 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jeonbuk24166243:192454
    2Gimcheon Sangmu24116734:241039
    3Daejeon24109532:28439
    4Seoul2499627:23436
    5Pohang24105930:34-435
    6Gwangju FC2488825:28-332
    7Ulsan HD2487930:29131
    8Gangwon24861024:30-630
    9Jeju SK24851127:32-529
    10Suwon FC24771031:32-128
    11Anyang24831329:32-327
    12Daegu24351624:45-2114

          Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )
          K League 1 (Relegation Group: )