Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
98
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Ibanez M. ,
  • 15', Macies T. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Salvaggio M. ,
  • 39', Peralta B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gutierrez M. , Ledesma J. ,
  • 47', Centurion F. 🟨,
  • 55', Gallo M. 🟨,
  • 63', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 69', Iturrieta J. 🟨,
  • 90+13', 1 - 2, Abondetto R. ,

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
54.7%
Draw
29.4%
9 de Julio
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.8% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 28.7% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • 9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 9 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.82)
    3.12
    (3.3)
    5.76
    (4.24)
    9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • 9 de Julio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Gimnasia Chivilcoy is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia Chivilcoy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio were as follows:
    09.11.2025 9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 1:0
    17.08.2025 9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 1:1
    22.06.2025 9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy 2:0
    20.04.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio 2:1
    Latest results of 9 de Julio
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0