Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
612
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Tomino J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
37.6%
Draw
31.3%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 30.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.4% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.15)
    2.88
    (2.95)
    2.91
    (3.3)
    10.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Gimnasia Chivilcoy (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Chivilcoy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Def Belgrano VR could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Def Belgrano VR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 2:1
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin Formosa63218:5311
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Juventud Antoniana63127:7010
    5Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    6Boca Unidos622210:918
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )