San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Gimnasia y Esgrima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
73:81
30/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga A

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo de Almagro
41.5%
Gimnasia y Esgrima
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnasia y Esgrima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.07)

    1.6
    (1.63)
    7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima?
  • Users Predictions: San Lorenzo de Almagro will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Lorenzo de Almagro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
    • San Lorenzo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gimnasia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • San Lorenzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1548:1601. (average 77.4:80.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 824:773. (average 82.4:77.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima were as follows:
    06.11.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro 84:63
    29.04.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro 92:81
    24.10.2024 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima 78:74
    16.03.2024 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima 73:72
    12.01.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima - San Lorenzo de Almagro 75:67
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Quimsa (1)Bye
    2La Union (8)Independiente de Oliva (9)1 : 1
    3Obera TC (4)Bye
    4Boca Juniors (5)San Martin (12)2 : 0
    5Gimnasia (2)Bye
    6Obras Sanitarias (7)Instituto de Cordoba (10)1 : 1
    7Regatas (3)Bye
    8Ferro (6)Penarol (11)2 : 0