Güemes vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Gerez M. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Juarez N. ,
  • 61', Albertengo M. , Alvarez M. ,
  • 69', Veliz D. , Lesman G. ,
  • 70', Chaves I. F. 🟨,
  • 70', Rojas F. , Mendez J. ,
  • 70', Aguirre J. , Heredia F. ,
  • 70', Reynaga R. , Gordillo L. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Gordillo L. ,
  • 82', Busse W. , Montoya L. ,
  • 82', Griffa E. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 87', Monserrat N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Galetto J. , Monti I. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Lesman G. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Güemes
45.1%
Draw
35.1%
Gimnasia y Tiro
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 30.3% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.3% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.22)
    2.63
    (3.04)
    4.8
    (3.26)
    6.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Güemes - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Güemes (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Güemes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Güemes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Güemes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Güemes
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation