Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 19
- Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Busse W. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
- 56', Galetto J. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
- 58', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 60', Cardozo F. 🟨,
- 64', Sosa D. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
- 64', Lavezzi A. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 76', Rojas F. ↓, Keko ↑,
- 76', Contin N. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Dening E. ⚽,
- 87', Dening E. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
- 90+1', Villarreal R. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
- 90+2', Juarez J. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Miguel 55.1% | Draw 29.8% | Gimnasia y Tiro 15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.79) |
3.1 ↑ (3.01) |
6.19 ↑ (5.32) |
7.7% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Miguel will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
- San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gimnasia y Tiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Gimnasia y Tiro?
San Miguel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Tiro won against San Miguel?
Gimnasia y Tiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
16.02.2025
Gimnasia y Tiro
-
San Miguel
1:0
Latest results of San Miguel
Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Bye | |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Miguel | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | Chaco For Ever | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | San Martin T. | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Patronato | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | Temperley | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | Deportivo Maipu | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | Deportivo Moron | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | Gimnasia y Tiro | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | CA Estudiantes | Tristan Suarez | 0 : 0 |