San Miguel vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 19
  • Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
139
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Busse W. , Heredia F. ,
  • 56', Galetto J. , Bravo G. ,
  • 58', Diaz G. 🟨,
  • 60', Cardozo F. 🟨,
  • 64', Sosa D. , Nasta B. ,
  • 64', Lavezzi A. , Salto C. ,
  • 76', Rojas F. , Keko ,
  • 76', Contin N. , Reynaga R. ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Dening E. ,
  • 87', Dening E. , Ferrero J. ,
  • 90+1', Villarreal R. , Morello M. ,
  • 90+2', Juarez J. , Sena F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Miguel
55.1%
Draw
29.8%
Gimnasia y Tiro
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 30.8% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 29.4% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.79)
    3.1
    (3.01)
    6.19
    (5.32)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Users Predictions: San Miguel will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Miguel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gimnasia y Tiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - San Miguel 1:0
    Latest results of San Miguel
    Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Acassuso33008:269
    2San Miguel32104:137
    3Almirante Brown32103:127
    4Ferro31204:225
    5Deportivo Moron31204:225
    6Colon Santa Fe31203:215
    7Def. de Belgrano31203:215
    8All Boys31113:304
    9CA Mitre31112:204
    10Racing Cordoba31111:3-24
    11Godoy Cruz30302:203
    12Ciudad Bolivar30302:203
    13Deportivo Madryn30212:3-12
    14Los Andes30211:2-12
    15San Telmo30124:7-31
    16Central Norte30120:3-31
    17Chaco For Ever30122:6-41
    18CA Estudiantes30030:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia y Tiro33006:249
    2Nueva Chicago32103:037
    3Gimnasia Jujuy32014:406
    4San Martin T31203:215
    5Tristan Suarez31202:115
    6Chacarita Juniors31115:414
    7Midland31113:214
    8Deportivo Maipu31115:504
    9San Martin S.J31114:404
    10Atl. Rafaela31112:204
    11Atletico Atlanta31111:104
    12Temperley31111:104
    13Club A. Guemes31023:4-13
    14Colegiales31022:4-23
    15Agropecuario31022:4-23
    16Patronato30211:2-12
    17Quilmes30120:2-21
    18Almagro30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation