Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 19
- Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Busse W. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
- 56', Galetto J. ↓, Bravo G. ↑,
- 58', Diaz G. 🟨,
- 60', Cardozo F. 🟨,
- 64', Sosa D. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
- 64', Lavezzi A. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
- 76', Rojas F. ↓, Keko ↑,
- 76', Contin N. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Dening E. ⚽,
- 87', Dening E. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
- 90+1', Villarreal R. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
- 90+2', Juarez J. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Miguel
55.1% | Draw
29.8% | Gimnasia y Tiro
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Miguel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.79) |
3.1 ↑
(3.01) |
6.19 ↑
(5.32) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
San Miguel will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
- San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gimnasia y Tiro is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- San Miguel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, San Miguel is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has San Miguel won against Gimnasia y Tiro?
San Miguel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Tiro won against San Miguel?
Gimnasia y Tiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Miguel - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
16.02.2025
Gimnasia y Tiro
-
San Miguel
1:0
Latest results of San Miguel
Latest results of Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 51 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 47 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Patronato | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:26 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 21:25 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Ferro | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 17:28 | -11 | 29 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 56 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 32:18 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 36:20 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Temperley | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15:36 | -21 | 20 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
