Tristán Suárez vs Gimnasia y Tiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
113
Corner kicks
85
Yellow cards
33
Total shots
176
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Alvarez M. ,
  • 34', Almada A. , Beron J. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Rinaldi N. , Guanini M. (A),
  • 45', Rinaldi N. , Contin N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luayza M. , Sanchez A. ,
  • 52', Colli K. 🟨,
  • 57', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 57', Fernandez N. , Henry N. ,
  • 70', Contin N. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Beron J. ,
  • 76', Birge M. 🟨,
  • 77', Montoya W. , Banega T. ,
  • 78', Beron J. 🟨,
  • 85', Rocca J. , Sivetti F. ,
  • 85', Birge M. , Capano J. ,
  • 85', Oviedo J. C. , Turletti J. ,
  • 86', Alvarez M. , Berrondo A. ,
  • 86', Molina A. , Perez M. ,
  • 87', Banega T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tristán Suárez
47.8%
Draw
32.7%
Gimnasia y Tiro
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 34.7% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 34.7% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tristán Suárez's performance.
  • Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.4)
    2.84
    (2.69)
    4.73
    (3.54)
    7.6%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Tristán Suárez (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia y Tiro (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tristán Suárez (votes: 1 - 50%). Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gimnasia y Tiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tristán Suárez has had a series of away games.
    • Tristán Suárez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro 1:0
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Tristán Suárez 1:1
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9Agropecuario1142512:15-314
    10Quilmes1134411:8313
    11San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    12Patronato113446:10-413
    13Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    14Gimnasia y Tiro1133512:15-312
    15Chacarita Juniors113359:12-312
    16Colegiales113358:12-412
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation