Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Alcorcón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón
12/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
43.2%
Draw
29%
Alcorcón
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 27.8% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Alcorcón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (3.3)
    3.34
    (3.13)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alcorcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gimnàstic will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gimnàstic won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).
    Latest results of Gimnástic de Tarragona
    Latest results of Alcorcón
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid B632110:5511
    2CE Europa63219:6311
    3FC Cartagena SAD63218:6211
    4Sanluqueno62409:4510
    5Gimnastic631210:8210
    6Sabadell62405:3210
    7Teruel62316:519
    8Alcorcon62315:419
    9Eldense62316:7-19
    10Algeciras62225:508
    11UD Ibiza62226:8-28
    12Marbella61415:507
    13Tarazona62133:6-37
    14Torremolinos61327:8-16
    15Murcia61325:6-16
    16Sevilla FC B61234:6-25
    17Villarreal B61236:9-35
    18Antequera60423:5-24
    19Hercules61144:7-34
    20Betis B60424:7-34

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation