Leonesa vs Gimnástic de Tarragona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona
Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Concha D. 🟨,
  • 36', Justo M. , Ruiz V. ,
  • 36', Satrustegui E. , Escobar A. ,
  • 39', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sanz O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Leal A. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ,
  • 58', Torres R. , Jardi J. ,
  • 58', Concha D. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Escobar A. (Pen),
  • 67', Perez G. , Gorostidi A. ,
  • 67', Oriol J. , Junca D. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Narro V. ,
  • 73', Pastoriza P. , Calderon C. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', Chacon L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 90', Barri , Presa K. ,
  • 90+4', Antonin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leonesa
53.4%
Draw
28.2%
Gimnástic de Tarragona
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 30.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.1% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.08)
    3.29
    (3.05)
    5.04
    (3.57)
    7.9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gimnàstic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 2:3
    28.04.2024 Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona 3:0
    25.11.2023 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    29.03.2025 Barcelona B - Leonesa 2:0
    09.03.2025 Leonesa - Zamora 1:1
    Latest results of Gimnástic de Tarragona
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife22005:056
    2Arenas Getxo21104:314
    3Pontevedra21102:114
    4Osasuna B21102:114
    5Ponferradina21013:123
    6Racing Club Ferrol11002:113
    7Real Madrid B11002:113
    8Arenteiro21012:203
    9Guadalajara21011:2-13
    10Merida AD21011:3-23
    11Cacereno20203:302
    12Ath Bilbao B20201:102
    13Zamora20201:102
    14Ourense CF20201:102
    15CF Talavera20112:3-11
    16Barakaldo20111:2-11
    17Lugo20111:2-11
    18Celta Vigo B20110:1-11
    19Real Aviles20110:3-31
    20Unionistas20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation