Leonesa vs Gimnástic de Tarragona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Concha D. 🟨,
  • 36', Justo M. , Ruiz V. ,
  • 36', Satrustegui E. , Escobar A. ,
  • 39', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sanz O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Leal A. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ,
  • 58', Torres R. , Jardi J. ,
  • 58', Concha D. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Escobar A. (Pen),
  • 67', Perez G. , Gorostidi A. ,
  • 67', Oriol J. , Junca D. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Narro V. ,
  • 73', Pastoriza P. , Calderon C. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', Chacon L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 90', Barri , Presa K. ,
  • 90+4', Antonin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leonesa
53.4%
Draw
28.2%
Gimnástic de Tarragona
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 30.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.1% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.08)
    3.29
    (3.05)
    5.04
    (3.57)
    7.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leonesa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gimnàstic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 2:3
    28.04.2024 Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona 3:0
    25.11.2023 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    29.03.2025 Barcelona B - Leonesa 2:0
    09.03.2025 Leonesa - Zamora 1:1
    Latest results of Gimnástic de Tarragona
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1