Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Baselga M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Baselga M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Camus S. , Santos S. ,
  • 46', Acosta L. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 46', Munoz L. , Boussefiane H. ,
  • 50', Camus S. 🟨,
  • 55', Sanz O. , Prendes M. ,
  • 62', Baselga M. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 62', Cambra J. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 63', Moi 🟨,
  • 66', Escassi A. 🟨,
  • 75', Fattore V. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 76', Omoigui C. , Torres F. ,
  • 76', Moi , Alvaro Garcia ,
  • 80', Eugeni , Palacin P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
46.2%
Draw
28.8%
Marbella
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.3% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 26.7% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.87)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    3.74
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Marbella (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 50%). Marbella (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Gimnàstic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gimnàstic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marbella
    09.11.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 1:2
    02.11.2025 Teruel - Marbella 1:0
    26.10.2025 Marbella - Cartagena 0:0
    19.10.2025 Antequera - Marbella 3:1
    11.10.2025 Marbella - Eldense 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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