Gimnástic de Tarragona vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Baselga M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Baselga M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Camus S. , Santos S. ,
  • 46', Acosta L. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 46', Munoz L. , Boussefiane H. ,
  • 50', Camus S. 🟨,
  • 55', Sanz O. , Prendes M. ,
  • 62', Baselga M. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 62', Cambra J. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 63', Moi 🟨,
  • 66', Escassi A. 🟨,
  • 75', Fattore V. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 76', Omoigui C. , Torres F. ,
  • 76', Moi , Alvaro Garcia ,
  • 80', Eugeni , Palacin P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnástic de Tarragona
46.2%
Draw
28.8%
Marbella
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 27.3% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 26.7% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.87)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    3.74
    (4.02)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gimnástic de Tarragona - Marbella?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Marbella (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 1 - 50%). Marbella (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Gimnàstic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gimnàstic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Marbella
    09.11.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 1:2
    02.11.2025 Teruel - Marbella 1:0
    26.10.2025 Marbella - Cartagena 0:0
    19.10.2025 Antequera - Marbella 3:1
    11.10.2025 Marbella - Eldense 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell261211333:141947
    2Atl. Madrid B26128637:251244
    3CE Europa261011536:28841
    4Eldense251011430:24641
    5FC Cartagena SAD26108825:26-138
    6Teruel26108820:21-138
    7Villarreal B25910633:221137
    8Antequera25107830:27337
    9Algeciras25107828:25337
    10Alcorcon26812625:23236
    11Hercules2699830:30036
    12UD Ibiza2698927:24335
    13Tarazona2689922:25-333
    14Gimnastic26961130:34-433
    15Murcia2588924:25-132
    16Torremolinos26711833:35-232
    17Sanluqueno26661423:37-1424
    18Betis B26571425:41-1622
    19Sevilla FC B26491313:25-1221
    20Marbella25561419:32-1321

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation