Guarnizo vs Gimnástica de Torrelavega – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 23

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟥,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Guarnizo
14.1%
Draw
24.8%
Gimnástica de Torrelavega
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.6% 25.8% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 25% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarnizo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarnizo than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.4
    (5.15)
    3.64
    (3.5)
    1.48
    (1.6)
    10.7%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 0.
    • Guarnizo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Torrelavega is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Torrelavega is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guarnizo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarnizo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Guarnizo 1:0
    Latest results of Guarnizo
    15.02.2026 Revilla - Guarnizo 1:2
    31.01.2026 Guarnizo - Colindres 1:0
    17.01.2026 Guarnizo - Laredo 2:3
    10.01.2026 Guarnizo - Bezana 0:0
    Latest results of Gimnástica de Torrelavega
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Torrelavega23182358:94956
    2Tropezon23152636:181847
    3Escobedo23151746:271946
    4Laredo23135538:191944
    5Vimenor23134633:221143
    6Guarnizo24126631:211042
    7Atletico Albericia23132839:251441
    8Cayon23125636:261041
    9Torina23105827:29-235
    10Bezana24951023:28-532
    11Castro23851033:32129
    12CD Barquereno22731225:37-1224
    13Revilla23651228:43-1523
    14UC Cartes24571217:37-2022
    15Noja23451414:35-2117
    16Montanas23441525:64-3916
    17Selaya23351514:31-1714
    18CD Colindres23271413:33-2013

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          Relegation