Result
0:1
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 19
Chances of winning
Gioiese
13.2% | Draw
20.1% | Castrovillari
66.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gioiese's form might have worsened.Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gioiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-21.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gioiese - Castrovillari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.8 ↑
(3.66) |
4.45 ↑
(3.42) |
1.34 ↓
(1.83) |
11.7%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Gioiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Castrovillari is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Gioiese won against Castrovillari?
Gioiese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Gioiese?
Castrovillari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gioiese - Castrovillari were as follows:
Latest results of Gioiese
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
