Result
0:1
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 19
Chances of winning
Gioiese
13.2% | Draw
20.1% | Castrovillari
66.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gioiese's form might have worsened.Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gioiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-21.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gioiese - Castrovillari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.8 ↑
(3.66) |
4.45 ↑
(3.42) |
1.34 ↓
(1.83) |
11.7%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Gioiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Castrovillari is a favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Gioiese won against Castrovillari?
Gioiese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Gioiese?
Castrovillari has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gioiese - Castrovillari were as follows:
Latest results of Gioiese
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Gela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Gelbison | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Sambiase | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Athletic Palermo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Reggina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Nissa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Castrumfavara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Vibonese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Milazzo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Paterno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Enna | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | USD Ragusa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Acireale | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | ACR Messina | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | -5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
