Gioiese vs Castrovillari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Gioiese - Castrovillari
Result
0:1
20/12/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 19

Chances of winning


Gioiese
13.2%
Draw
20.1%
Castrovillari
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 26.3% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 24.1% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gioiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gioiese's form might have worsened.
  • Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castrovillari's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gioiese than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gioiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castrovillari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gioiese - Castrovillari Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.8
    (3.66)
    4.45
    (3.42)
    1.34
    (1.83)
    11.7%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Gioiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Castrovillari is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gioiese
    17.12.2023 Trapani - Gioiese 8:0
    10.12.2023 Gioiese - Ragusa 1:4
    19.11.2023 Gioiese - Licata 1:2
    12.11.2023 Portici - Gioiese 1:0
    Latest results of Castrovillari
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1