Giovanni Fonio vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Estoril Challenger Men Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen
Result
0:2
01/05/2025 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
66%67%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (33/51)74% (37/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)68% (17/25)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
26% (13/50)35% (18/51)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (8/25)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)29% (2/7)
Winners
2222
Unforced Errors
3429
Net Points Won
80% (8/10)77% (10/13)
Service Points Won
64% (49/77)72% (54/75)
Return Points Won
28% (21/75)36% (28/77)
Total Points Won
46% (70/152)54% (82/152)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Giovanni Fonio
37.4%
Alex Michelsen
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giovanni Fonio's performance.
  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giovanni Fonio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (3.27)

    1.51
    (1.3)
    6.5%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fonio will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Michelsen will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fonio: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonio is ranked ATP: 372. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 38.
    • Fonio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Michelsen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games, wins - 2).
    • Michelsen could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
    • In this match, Michelsen is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Giovanni Fonio
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Lajovic D. (Alt)Pellegrino A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Tien L.Elias G. (WC)1 : 2
    4Rocha H. (WC)Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    5Giron M. (4)Bye
    6Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)2 : 1
    7Faria J.Zapata Miralles B. (LL)0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Fonseca J. (8)2 : 0
    9Kecmanovic M. (5)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Coppejans K. (Alt)Yevseyev D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Zeppieri G. (Q)Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Martinez P. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Nardi L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    15Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Fonio G. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMichelsen A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Elias G.Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    3Giron M. (4)Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Zapata Miralles B.De Jong J.2 : 0
    5Kecmanovic M. (5)Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Borges N. (3)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Nardi L.0 : 2
    8Fonio G.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Kecmanovic M. (5)Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    4Nardi L.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M. (5)Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2